NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d34a8c3341d5cb965d797421b34482f163dfdbe69555b6e27de087fdcdd377d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 49c | 7,796$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 3,532$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 3,422$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Over | 51c | 2,900$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,377$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 1,015$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 2c | 553.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69dc…336dbacked Over | 51c | 512$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.88 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 51c | 285$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.65 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Under | 50c | 182$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 139.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…bf68backed Over | 53c | 132.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 123$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…b4c8backed Over | 51c | 78.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…b60ebacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…3886backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e16…3da4backed Under | 51c | 30.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-0.5)Bucks won
- 76ers vs. Bucks76ers won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.