TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ab6…bf68

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-6.1wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-36.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$656Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$656
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$941Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$681.12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,144.92
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$29.1
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,565.22
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs fnatic (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$38.39
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30.86
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Fluxo (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.42
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NIP (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Counter-Strike: B8 vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Lynn Vision (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+41.4%+$36.31
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$39.9
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+81.8%+$31.09
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$86.83
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$83.44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+26.6%+$18.61
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+233.3%+$35
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Passion UA (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$376
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$14.59
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+100%+$90
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+68.1%+$81
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+212.5%+$85
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$55
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$816.43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$630.24
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$626.5
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$848.86
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Alcaraz (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+170.3%+$62.99
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$58.31
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+173.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+140.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+233.3%+$58.29
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
49ers vs. Jetsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$5.42
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+54.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$99.78
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+177.8%+$28.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+80.4%+$78.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$12.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.