Tennis · resolved market
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8541e0b8f33e61cef8872f9a4164b2de2b94b18b308f21e35476d3bcf9f6394
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karolina Muchovaof Karolina Muchova, Elise Mertens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $534,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $613,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elise Mertens | 40c | 47,007$18,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,598.51 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Elise Mertens | 0c | 28,236$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Karolina Muchova | 23c | 25,060$5,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,421.65 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elise Mertens | 57c | 22,278$12,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,707.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Elise Mertens | 7c | 15,813$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.23 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Elise Mertens | 77c | 15,000$11,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,550 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Karolina Muchova | 19c | 10,015$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,111.94 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Elise Mertens | 55c | 7,443$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.24 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Karolina Muchova | 68c | 6,930$4,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.53 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Karolina Muchova | 62c | 6,352$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.68 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Karolina Muchova | 63c | 5,976$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.29 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Karolina Muchova | 43c | 5,660$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.22 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Karolina Muchova | 23c | 5,412$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,171.32 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Elise Mertens | 1c | 5,210$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Karolina Muchova | 26c | 3,630$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.04 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Elise Mertens | 34c | 3,171$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.99 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…795abacked Elise Mertens | 36c | 2,994$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Karolina Muchova | 29c | 2,951$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.3 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Elise Mertens | 35c | 2,756$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.3 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Karolina Muchova | 47c | 2,673$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.22 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Karolina Muchova | 48c | 2,541$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.34 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Karolina Muchova | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.99 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Elise Mertens | 62c | 2,369$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.97 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Elise Mertens | 39c | 2,322$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.6 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Karolina Muchova | 49c | 2,275$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.68 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Elise Mertens | 37c | 2,229$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Elise Mertens | 4c | 2,086$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Elise Mertens | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Elise Mertens | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Karolina Muchova | 16c | 1,979$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.51 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Elise Mertens | 75c | 1,970$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.5 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0179…adcdbacked Karolina Muchova | 68c | 1,948$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.35 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Karolina Muchova | 41c | 1,933$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.51 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Elise Mertens | 71c | 1,895$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.49 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Karolina Muchova | 80c | 1,890$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.29 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…bf68backed Elise Mertens | 35c | 1,790$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Elise Mertens | 46c | 1,755$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.58 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Elise Mertens | 56c | 1,750$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.37 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4dbebacked Karolina Muchova | 65c | 1,727$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Elise Mertens | 37c | 1,691$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.81 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Karolina Muchova | 52c | 1,534$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.18 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Elise Mertens | 37c | 1,520$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.05 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Elise Mertens | 49c | 1,510$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.78 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Elise Mertens | 35c | 1,476$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.68 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Karolina Muchova | 46c | 1,464$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.53 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Elise Mertens | 75c | 1,463$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.25 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Karolina Muchova | 50c | 1,439$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.34 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Karolina Muchova | 58c | 1,346$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.43 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Elise Mertens | 69c | 1,321$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.3 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Karolina Muchova | 66c | 1,304$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.13 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Elise Mertens | 35c | 1,303$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.18 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Elise Mertens | 36c | 1,284$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.17 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Karolina Muchova | 65c | 1,279$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.62 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…c31cbacked Karolina Muchova | 62c | 1,271$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Karolina Muchova | 56c | 1,203$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.59 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Elise Mertens | 43c | 1,176$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.68 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Elise Mertens | 36c | 1,112$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.52 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…01bfbacked Karolina Muchova | 63c | 1,100$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Karolina Muchova | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Karolina Muchova | 21c | 1,090$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.69 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…867cbacked Karolina Muchova | 65c | 1,059$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked Elise Mertens | 36c | 1,001$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.36 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Karolina Muchova | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Elise Mertens | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…90febacked Elise Mertens | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Elise Mertens | 34c | 999.98$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Karolina Muchova | 26c | 992.35$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.34 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Elise Mertens | 36c | 983.72$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.14 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…9917backed Karolina Muchova | 65c | 937.88$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…5e39backed Elise Mertens | 17c | 847.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…5d8ebacked Karolina Muchova | 71c | 830.37$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.81 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Karolina Muchova | 60c | 828.68$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.47 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Elise Mertens | 35c | 823.69$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.29 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…b91fbacked Karolina Muchova | 65c | 805.52$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Elise Mertens | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Karolina Muchova | 70c | 767.54$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.01 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Elise Mertens | 34c | 725$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.32 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Karolina Muchova | 41c | 711.97$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.93 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Elise Mertens | 51c | 707.5$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.7 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Karolina Muchova | 31c | 676.52$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.13 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…0a81backed Karolina Muchova | 22c | 667.13$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Karolina Muchova | 26c | 661.8$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.9 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…03b8backed Karolina Muchova | 59c | 658.85$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.28 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…f334backed Karolina Muchova | 48c | 654.88$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.41 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…07c2backed Elise Mertens | 50c | 637.7$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.85 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Karolina Muchova | 60c | 599.42$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.51 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Karolina Muchova | 67c | 548.76$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.43 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked Elise Mertens | 46c | 545.64$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.64 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…9f65backed Karolina Muchova | 50c | 543.2$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked Karolina Muchova | 65c | 507.57$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.65 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Karolina Muchova | 68c | 503.93$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.3 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Karolina Muchova | 19c | 494.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.73 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f8…c117backed Elise Mertens | 55c | 490.11$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Elise Mertens | 35c | 468.86$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Elise Mertens | 53c | 446.89$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.06 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Karolina Muchova | 66c | 438.29$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.02 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82e…2193backed Elise Mertens | 68c | 424.41$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Karolina Muchova | 65c | 414.19$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…d2fcbacked Elise Mertens | 35c | 406.37$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Elise Mertens | 43c | 397.98$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.03 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertensthis page
- Karolina Muchova vs. Elise Mertens: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Muchova vs. Mertens: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Muchova vs. Mertens: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Muchova vs. Mertens: Match O/U 23.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.