TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x270f…5e39

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT273.7%1 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-75.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+555.5%+$438.87
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.11
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.49
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.6
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT219.5%2 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-85.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauffbacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.07
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.51
Tallahassee: Tyler Zink vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Mitchell Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.39
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Xinyu Wang vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.65
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrezbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.39
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.61
Barcelona Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.11
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$86.32
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Alycia Parks vs Mirra Andreevabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.64
Oeiras 3: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Jonas Forejtek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.52
Oeiras 3: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Beatriz Haddad Maia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.52
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.03
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Linda Noskovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.19
Barcelona Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Andrey Rublevbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.04
Busan: August Holmgren vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.42
Busan: Liam Broady vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.67
Busan: Sho Shimabukuro vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.84
Busan: Pavel Kotov vs Leandro Riedibacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.86
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinnbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$19.72
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+116.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+125.3%+$43.89
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+156.3%+$284.23
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$77.51
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$33.67
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.88
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.11
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.06
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.45
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$16.32
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.66
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+2,225.6%+$223.69
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.79
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+145.2%+$23.56
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$31.47
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.43
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.73
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.45
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+382.7%+$117.31
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.98
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.01
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$26.59
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.81
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.68
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$948.42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.79
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.67
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.32
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick30cpaid+65.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+168.4%+$1,851.51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$165.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$636
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+444.7%+$2,800.29
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+227.7%+$1,445.18
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$13.66
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Fenerbahcebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$67.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.