MLB · resolved market
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24a93f6ab847094508398f983170ba832196a5055f80e7254e57086aa584b16b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Pittsburgh Pirates, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 2,399$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.78 | 893 | 49.3%440 W · 453 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 2,370$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.13 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,885$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.69 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 79c | 1,224$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.33 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,111$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.62 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 1,052$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.85 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 28c | 900.72$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.49 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 830.28$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.41 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 793.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 660.1$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.24 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 585.24$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.35 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 544.25$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.58 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 511.82$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.42 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 482.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 477.88$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.2 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Washington Nationals | 77c | 416.71$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 487 | 43.3%211 W · 276 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 394.37$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.21 | 670 | 47.9%321 W · 349 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 387.22$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 349.22$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.82 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 302.26$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 299.89$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.36 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 259.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 4,107 | 57.6%2,366 W · 1,741 L | +65.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 241.3$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 239.7$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 234.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 233.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 213.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 9c | 206.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 9c | 206.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…3d1fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 198.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 238 | 54.2%129 W · 109 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 189.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 183.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…daacbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 179.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 9c | 177.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 175.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 172.65$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.92 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 171.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 149.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 146.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 1,875 | 52.1%976 W · 899 L | +52.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 145.27$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0edb…92c3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 13c | 142.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 61c | 138.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…02d6backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 118.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 114.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 111.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 105.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 99.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 86.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 514 | 40.3%207 W · 307 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 84.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 482 | 50.6%244 W · 238 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…5e39backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 80.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…2294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 77.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 76.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 67.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 64.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 60.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 59.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdada…b593backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 58.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 55.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 2,593 | 61.5%1,595 W · 998 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 55.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Washington Nationals | 76c | 54.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 2,549 | 45.8%1,168 W · 1,381 L | -75.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 54.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 53.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 1,044 | 48.9%511 W · 533 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 49.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 44.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 39.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 39.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 39.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 38.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 37.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 37.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 36.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 28.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f43…01a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 28.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 27.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 26.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Washington Nationals | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Washington Nationals | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 18.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 13.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 14.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 15.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.