MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x949b3b992900595ef7c60eacaf057c07fb967eec211b27abe0b49c26feee1fae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861a…1f15backed Over | 50c | 47,936$23,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,969.26 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 27,039$13,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,237.32 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 20,322$10,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,011.09 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 9,708$5,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,465.88 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 4,449$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.74 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 47c | 2,710$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.63 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Over | 54c | 2,610$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.38 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 46c | 2,222$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.1 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,982$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.15 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Under | 51c | 1,729$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.91 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.99 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,100$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 53c | 1,028$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.39 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 53c | 999.97$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 965.52$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.76 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 47c | 927.83$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.08 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeea4…efe6backed Under | 46c | 915.33$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 821.87$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.87 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 51c | 799.68$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.83 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 54c | 775.93$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.15 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 49c | 775.31$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.41 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.24 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 46c | 757.59$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.49 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 50c | 732.93$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.47 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 701.32$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.61 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 50c | 649.9$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.95 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 47c | 356.44$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.53 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 50c | 354.13$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 53c | 344.02$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.69 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 50c | 343.37$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.69 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 47c | 328.04$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.29 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Under | 51c | 289.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.73 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 50c | 281.13$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.78 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 54c | 256.14$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 54c | 254.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 54c | 254.09$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 54c | 254.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 54c | 250.12$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.06 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 54c | 250.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.03 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 217.15$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 22c | 210.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…6364backed Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Under | 52c | 170.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 49c | 163.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…baa1backed Under | 51c | 161.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 46c | 145.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 78c | 145$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 45c | 128.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 128.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.03 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 53c | 116.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 47c | 114.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 108.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c5…03eabacked Under | 46c | 104.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 29c | 96.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Under | 53c | 91.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…4e0abacked Over | 54c | 89.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 47c | 82.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 47c | 73.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 51c | 69.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…eab7backed Over | 46c | 58.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 55c | 56.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 54.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d7…3ed2backed Over | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked Over | 45c | 52.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 41cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 78c | 51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 56c | 50.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 52c | 49.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 50c | 49.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 46c | 43.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…55f2backed Under | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Over | 50c | 41.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Under | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Under | 47c | 40.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…e55dbacked Under | 47c | 40.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 80c | 39.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 54c | 38.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1352…3ecabacked Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 35.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 46c | 34.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 54c | 33.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…d63bbacked Under | 51c | 30.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Over | 52c | 28.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 51c | 27.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Over | 51c | 24.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 52c | 22.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 13.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 14.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 15.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.