TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24d7…3ed2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$42.07
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.85
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$56.79
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.24
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.09
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$89.55
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$43.05
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Rome: Jacopo Vasami vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Jacopo Vasami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.04
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.12
Rome: Dalibor Svrcina vs Henry Bernetbacked Henry Bernet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
Madrid Open: Xinyu Wang vs Laura Samsonbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$21.83
Rome: Jacopo Vasami vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Jacopo Vasami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+48%+$28.22
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.01
Busan: August Holmgren vs Alexis Galarneaubacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$14.76
Oeiras 3: Henrique Rocha vs Tom Gentzschbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$47.75
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.11
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.25
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$31.24
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.16
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.08
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+68.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.29
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$47.13
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$66.64
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 4 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$77.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.