MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x778091bbd204b29df6272c770a17bdd6d7badd254d17a2487e2102e470883177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 54c | 160,800$86,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,183.73 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 46c | 159,663$73,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,019.91 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 46c | 28,895$13,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,291.9 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 55c | 23,419$12,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,629.88 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 20,584$9,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,478.56 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 14,578$7,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,628.88 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 56c | 11,897$6,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.64 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 11,626$6,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,335.08 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 44c | 8,215$3,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,614.6 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 54c | 7,063$3,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.95 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 44c | 5,775$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.69 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under | 46c | 5,237$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.16 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 55c | 2,433$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.63 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 2,409$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.91 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Under | 46c | 2,104$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.56 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 55c | 2,064$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.8 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 50c | 1,604$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.92 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 46c | 1,564$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.28 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 46c | 1,446$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.73 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 54c | 1,442$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.42 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Over | 54c | 1,351$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.26 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 46c | 1,302$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.7 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 1,267$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.9 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Under | 50c | 1,224$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Under | 45c | 1,137$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.54 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Over | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 964.36$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 55c | 963.63$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.63 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 45c | 889.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.34 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 49c | 790.92$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.72 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 761$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Over | 56c | 707.79$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.97 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 51c | 686.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.36 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Over | 48c | 588.23$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.88 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 51c | 588$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 41c | 491.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Under | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 47c | 469.58$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.7 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 45c | 447.22$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.14 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 45c | 395.4$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.93 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 327.77$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.16 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Under | 46c | 309.63$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Under | 47c | 309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 56c | 308.91$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.92 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…5298backed Over | 69c | 286.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 56c | 286.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.88 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Over | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 246.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 16c | 236.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.17 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Over | 49c | 203.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 56c | 190.74$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…0a81backed Over | 56c | 175.58$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 18c | 175.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 45c | 171.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Under | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 45c | 142.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Under | 50c | 142.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610f…f6c3backed Under | 45c | 128.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 115.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 55c | 114.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 46c | 101.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…05d7backed Over | 55c | 96.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 56c | 95.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 56c | 95.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 56c | 95.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 56c | 95.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 56c | 95.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 56c | 95.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 56c | 95.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 56c | 95.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 49c | 94.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 56c | 93.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cdaebacked Over | 56c | 90.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7192…7000backed Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 57c | 89.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4e5fbacked Under | 44c | 89.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…e297backed Over | 55c | 88.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…34b4backed Over | 54c | 88.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Over | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeda…6595backed Under | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 45c | 83.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Over | 58c | 83.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 51c | 83.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 55c | 79.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 76c | 78.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 54c | 75.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Under | 45c | 75.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.