TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7192…7000

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT5756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.4
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.78
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$112.06
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$59.09
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.25
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.18
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$47.44
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.55
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27.07
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$56.47
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.78
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$55.95
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.6
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.1
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$207.09
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.38
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.97
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$101.92
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.73
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.41
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$105.84
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.97
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.04
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$96.17
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.35
Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.15
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.04
Spread: Heat (-15.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$161.64
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.95
Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.77
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.58
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.75
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.18
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.81
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$248.42
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Canucks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$66.46
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$38.06
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.06
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.69
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$61.2
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$81.92
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+210.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$58.6
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+175.3%+$126.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.