TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Washington Nationals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$757,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$795,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $757,530 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed Washington Nationals44c215,359$94,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,705.786445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked San Francisco Giants56c79,900$44,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,156.124548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked San Francisco Giants57c78,181$44,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,617.7250153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked San Francisco Giants59c63,336$37,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,967.7877053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed San Francisco Giants56c60,006$33,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,402.732065%13 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Washington Nationals43c51,180$21,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,995.7141149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals41c51,162$20,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,976.4286548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked San Francisco Giants58c48,978$28,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,778.211,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed San Francisco Giants56c40,291$22,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,728.2231039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed San Francisco Giants58c27,216$15,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,430.7736047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Washington Nationals44c21,742$9,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,666.7654152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked San Francisco Giants56c17,165$9,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,552.521,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked San Francisco Giants56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,60015148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals5c14,772$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.272,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals41c13,675$5,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,611.241,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed San Francisco Giants58c12,605$7,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,294.171,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Washington Nationals43c12,431$5,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,321.0760451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals42c10,614$4,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,457.743,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants56c9,989$5,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,395.231,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Giants79c9,939$7,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.962,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked San Francisco Giants56c9,543$5,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,153.451136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed San Francisco Giants58c8,403$4,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,529.451,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals15c6,469$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.868,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants57c5,873$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,523.991,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Washington Nationals1c5,823$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.131,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants72c4,506$3,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.359,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants56c4,500$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.55,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Washington Nationals44c4,391$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.1813045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals42c4,119$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.5828944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Washington Nationals44c3,964$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.273953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Washington Nationals42c3,617$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.1411146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Washington Nationals41c3,588$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.4865050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked San Francisco Giants78c3,234$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.981,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Washington Nationals12c3,063$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.428515.3%13 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed San Francisco Giants56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9833852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Washington Nationals19c2,952$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.9620552.7%108 W · 97 L+12.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Washington Nationals6c2,926$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.21,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed San Francisco Giants75c2,831$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.271,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed San Francisco Giants56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.5749158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed San Francisco Giants58c2,534$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.4819053.7%102 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked San Francisco Giants59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Washington Nationals43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals44c2,416$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.0461947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed San Francisco Giants56c2,319$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.3667849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed San Francisco Giants57c2,237$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.9618248.4%88 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked San Francisco Giants57c2,168$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.262965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed San Francisco Giants59c2,007$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.0224350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Washington Nationals42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84033852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked San Francisco Giants62c1,875$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.8348850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants57c1,870$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.31,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed San Francisco Giants55c1,730$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.517452.9%92 W · 82 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed San Francisco Giants57c1,700$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.0836649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants57c1,551$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6676,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc789…92b4backed San Francisco Giants56c1,499$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Washington Nationals41c1,487$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.8713254.5%72 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Washington Nationals7c1,483$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9714535.9%52 W · 93 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants56c1,278$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.3251547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed San Francisco Giants58c1,275$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.4234648.6%168 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…f61ebacked San Francisco Giants56c1,184$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.811643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Washington Nationals42c1,132$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.522,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Washington Nationals6c1,099$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5785235.8%305 W · 547 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Washington Nationals44c1,098$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.232350.5%163 W · 160 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Washington Nationals44c1,035$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.286051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed San Francisco Giants58c1,022$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.291,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed San Francisco Giants59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41012640.5%51 W · 75 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1af0…6dd7backed San Francisco Giants56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked San Francisco Giants56c937$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.281,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked San Francisco Giants57c927.58$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.8617961.5%110 W · 69 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed San Francisco Giants57c905.9$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.4827345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants58c851.31$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.81,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked San Francisco Giants57c830.99$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.331,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Washington Nationals5c801.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0410544.8%47 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed San Francisco Giants58c749.45$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.778247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed San Francisco Giants58c723.14$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.7270735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked San Francisco Giants56c708.62$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.164047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x630e…3a86backed San Francisco Giants57c702.45$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.053063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Washington Nationals44c700.64$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.2846749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked San Francisco Giants57c700$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.539850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked Washington Nationals43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals42c624.98$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.541,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked San Francisco Giants57c604$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.7212049.2%59 W · 61 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Washington Nationals33c582.53$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6622848.2%110 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked San Francisco Giants58c578$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.766662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a9d…0553backed San Francisco Giants57c577.15$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.182142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Washington Nationals44c572.11$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7350751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed San Francisco Giants57c563.09$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.0572648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcad…df78backed Washington Nationals8c560.14$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3710930.3%33 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Washington Nationals44c549.09$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.61,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb2b…e828backed Washington Nationals42c548.71$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6816844%74 W · 94 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Nationals43c547.6$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.471,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9019…64c3backed Washington Nationals3c546.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.571118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Washington Nationals2c531.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3533228.3%94 W · 238 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed San Francisco Giants56c515$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.61,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Washington Nationals19c505.2$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.710338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed San Francisco Giants58c504.21$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.775160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants66c496.93$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.541,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Washington Nationals44c478.37$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.4818553%98 W · 87 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Washington Nationals3c476.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.192722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+85.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals4c471.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.854,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.