TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b1e…82c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 70 out of 100 (+0.18 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 70 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT6243.5%27 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,674.85
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200,000
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150,000
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144,827.59
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$190,909.09
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60,000
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$117,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$117,000
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100,000
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+90%+$51,303.97
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$222,580.65
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$50,051.28
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,000
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,078
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,957.86
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,000.33
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$8,647.06
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$17,727.27
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$9,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,984.92
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43,774Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43,774.01
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,000
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10,222.22
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$9,367.35
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,000
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$5,188.24
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10,833.33
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$17,777.78
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,571.43
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,347.83
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,921Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,294.91
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+150.8%+$934.39
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+118%+$1,142.05
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$472.76
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.4
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,906Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,906.4
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.58
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$1,304.57
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,744Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,744.27
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,921.7
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,531.49
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,938.17
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,014.52
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Coventry City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,000
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100,000
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$37,396.58
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+145.4%+$145,421.69
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15,612.24
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$110,240.66
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60,000
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100,000
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51,111.11
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+177.6%+$18,190.41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51,000
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30,184Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$36,555.5
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,000
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$49,090.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,997Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+168.2%+$13,449.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33,387.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$22,500
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,470.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$9,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,525.06
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$92.74
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$479
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,000
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50,000
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,000
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$3,834.25
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$2,550.85
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,966Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+160.7%+$3,159.91
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,378Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+147.9%+$4,996.61
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,448Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,447.8
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,927Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,013.71
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.9
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+160.9%+$2,324.31
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,948.68
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.7
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$512.85
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$1,290.06
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Terrance McKinney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.7
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$243
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,000
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raoni Barcelos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,882Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+190.6%+$5,491.67
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$382.49
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jai Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+151.7%+$2,193.92
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$967.72
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nate Landwehr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.28
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Johnny Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.97
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Randy Brown · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.64
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.5
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-73.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50,000
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.79
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,922Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,729.35
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$958
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Hailey Baptiste vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$457.03
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Caty McNally vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.64
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.7
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Alexander Blockxbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.71
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$16,432.53
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,000
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+144.3%+$72,136.92
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11,276.6
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$861.78
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,745.6
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.1
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$965Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+137.4%+$1,326.51
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$954.19
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.52
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+165.7%+$84.48
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10100%10 W · 0 L+6.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+172.1%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+185.8%+$68,753.97
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49,995Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85,126.32
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46,666.67
Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42,500
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19,883.72
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$4,500
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,877Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+214.2%+$6,163.58
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$305.99
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$932.15
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$184.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+80.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,019.19
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.