Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb93d6d258dba111e5a7e64aea7082d80d4e66191de67c9195d22126aeed25988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,232,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,449,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,232,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91ee…c5b8backed Yes | 58c | 719,839$415,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415,011.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 42c | 174,000$73,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,919.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 43c | 125,000$53,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,249.98 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 42c | 103,800$43,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,203.98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 42c | 48,440$20,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,095.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 55c | 40,314$22,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,172.48 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 37,961$16,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,663.85 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 42c | 37,712$15,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,826.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 56c | 26,042$14,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,523.01 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 44c | 25,480$11,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,343.69 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 42c | 24,388$10,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,145.03 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed No | 42c | 23,901$10,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,862.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed No | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 43c | 21,240$9,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,108 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 43c | 17,550$7,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,003.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 15,203$7,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,905.73 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 55c | 14,887$8,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,673.53 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 42c | 14,286$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,285.71 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bba…49babacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 43c | 10,800$4,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,118.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 10,781$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,009.54 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 23c | 9,641$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.33 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 42c | 9,394$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,438.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 42c | 9,253$3,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,378.18 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 44c | 8,150$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,563.97 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Yes | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed No | 53c | 7,433$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…442bbacked No | 44c | 7,206$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 42c | 7,040$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked No | 42c | 7,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 26c | 6,941$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.71 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked No | 43c | 6,726$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 56c | 6,377$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,571.12 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 61c | 4,675$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.81 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 44c | 4,468$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.23 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 27c | 3,445$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 73c | 3,010$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.06 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 44c | 3,000$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.36 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 2,988$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.16 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Yes | 56c | 2,951$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.47 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 57c | 2,803$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.78 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 44c | 2,400$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 43c | 2,392$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.39 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 45c | 2,370$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.23 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 63c | 2,349$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.44 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 42c | 2,337$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.46 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 2,333$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.99 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 45c | 2,063$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.57 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 2,061$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.6 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 2,018$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.4 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 24c | 2,017$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.43 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…5efabacked No | 45c | 1,851$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 54c | 1,752$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.62 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…f105backed Yes | 58c | 1,722$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 44c | 1,704$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.24 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 64c | 1,676$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.25 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Yes | 34c | 1,672$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 55c | 1,538$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.88 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 55c | 1,500$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.95 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 43c | 1,431$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.11 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.2 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 54c | 1,119$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.66 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.84 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 42c | 1,088$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.02 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed No | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 966.83$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.16 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 57c | 950$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.5 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 895$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.22 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…0f2dbacked Yes | 51c | 847.45$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 44c | 833.33$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.69 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 44c | 820$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.2 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 43c | 796.64$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.07 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 44c | 736$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.16 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 45c | 735.02$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.61 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 44c | 716.09$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.33 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 26c | 700$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 45c | 699.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf3…05f6backed Yes | 58c | 681.05$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…c3d8backed Yes | 58c | 670.91$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 45c | 650$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.