Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbb5c664b9ede209f7dc6499eef0ce984ee4d5f6b850ae38f1af44609c7ff470
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 4,566$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.1 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 34c | 3,078$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.72 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 34c | 2,971$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.46 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 2,018$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.44 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 40c | 2,011$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc899…e1fdbacked No | 77c | 1,681$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 79c | 1,473$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.89 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 1,382$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.67 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 23c | 1,312$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.67 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 36c | 1,212$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.17 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 75c | 1,124$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.96 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 17c | 992.21$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 987.5$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.15 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 65c | 902.29$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.94 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 421.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed Yes | 20c | 340$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 38c | 336.84$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 76c | 327.9$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked Yes | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 64c | 286.55$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 77c | 261.85$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 60c | 238.9$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes | 42c | 238.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 30c | 233.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 63c | 227.42$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…4e8bbacked Yes | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…a52ebacked No | 37c | 216.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 210.55$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Yes | 30c | 200.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 27c | 186.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 171.02$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 23c | 167.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03d…107ebacked Yes | 20c | 161.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 22c | 154.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…958abacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…2920backed Yes | 20c | 142.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 67c | 136.61$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 62c | 131.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 64c | 126.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 59c | 118.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 13c | 102.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 73c | 102$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 23c | 102$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…93e8backed Yes | 20c | 101.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…c5a0backed Yes | 28c | 94.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebcf…086abacked Yes | 22c | 90.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 18c | 89.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 69c | 84.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes | 23c | 74.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 69c | 74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 44c | 73.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 75c | 67.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 67c | 66.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf435…a35abacked Yes | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 56.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes | 19c | 56.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 60c | 51.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…98ebbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…e56cbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc0…5b3bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0f…f275backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 30c | 47.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 25c | 47.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed Yes | 28c | 47.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 66c | 42.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 78c | 39.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 72c | 39.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 77c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked No | 78c | 38.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…afcdbacked Yes | 33c | 34.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 107 | 71%76 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 71c | 29.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 36c | 28.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…55e8backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.