TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf435…a35a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Asian League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 59 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.1
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.16
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.28
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.48
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.92
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.16
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.36
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.16
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.92
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.6
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Angola win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+77%+$11.56
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Will Norway win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Will Senegal win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+59.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.59
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.