TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$492,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$549,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,110 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb5…c494backed Yes69c220,307$152,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,295.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No31c77,190$23,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,928.91154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No43c25,930$11,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,076.022653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No31c23,328$7,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,231.688941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No53c19,645$10,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,479.551741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No34c16,320$5,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,548.9440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No31c16,092$4,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,988.521060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+50.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No31c12,918$4,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,003.7398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No31c12,903$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.84459.1%26 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+39.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40021058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No33c9,360$3,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,112.732,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes52c8,386$4,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,048.313847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No31c5,810$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.13548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No63c5,140$3,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,238.465459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes71c5,089$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.2634239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No31c5,081$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.95812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-83.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No54c4,803$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,589.771040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes54c4,550$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.611,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed No48c4,086$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-66.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes12c3,338$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,938.064148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No44c3,325$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.0332650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Yes58c3,303$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3971163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No33c3,287$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.4424953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes29c2,968$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.952050%10 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes37c2,965$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.8593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes54c2,711$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.5622373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Yes8c2,452$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.252450%12 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe54…3eddbacked No31c2,168$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6721030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes66c2,015$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.1533951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No31c2,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61018951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2461…f240backed Yes37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes8c1,877$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.121625%4 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No16c1,773$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes45c1,754$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.1416819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No46c1,727$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.967763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No31c1,587$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.975151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes59c1,539$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.1222743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No33c1,460$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.781947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No31c1,452$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No32c1,408$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.9541954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes63c1,377$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.9568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes55c1,355$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.313754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed No5c1,327$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.373129%9 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+275.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No47c1,316$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.56737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes39c1,296$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.364546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0513826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes59c1,265$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.0427453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No33c1,221$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.9139354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90e4…58eabacked Yes50c1,146$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.46520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-60.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed No2c1,139$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.73100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No30c1,092$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.586950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No31c1,066$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.4535646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed No30c1,025$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3404242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No37c999.97$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9912153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No1c865$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-85.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No32c841.68$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2836456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No36c806$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.5438547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No36c805.45$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.7946047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes77c779.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.223177.4%24 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+92.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No44c768.5$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9741144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.273464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No37c726$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.1142347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes69c725.69$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes66c708.15$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.774146.3%19 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes77c697.79$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.491464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes40c675.35$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.9531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa2…3620backed No15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No62c659.5$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.025955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes61c620.55$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.5146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No35c612.03$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.21742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3787749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed No17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No17c588$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes17c581.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.73080%24 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+46.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No35c576.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.013762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes48c561.09$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.084553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No26c547.79$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15510451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e5…b770backed No36c488$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No50c485.47$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.993953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes51c466$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.262330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Yes9c465.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.63580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+229.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked No31c458.22$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.851233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f3…b728backed Yes73c442.37$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed No33c430.42$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.214744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No31c429.41$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2713839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No6c419.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.894452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No33c412$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.14835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes50c406.4$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.18933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Yes56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick56cpaid+61.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a9…2385backed No35c388$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.141435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No34c356.15$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4139740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes66c336.36$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.363756.8%21 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.