TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes4c12,551$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.431625%4 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No61c3,877$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.5793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aae…5efabacked No79c3,574$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes52c3,440$1,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.962,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes36c2,537$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.1741144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No65c2,377$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.6922373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No35c2,298$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.8816819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes50c2,022$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.7532650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c1,912$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.81,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No78c1,519$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.355151%26 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No43c1,494$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.6546742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes22c1,400$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30412153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No63c1,391$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.7434239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes21c1,376$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.3415946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Yes59c1,330$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.55988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+64.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes67c1,245$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.5520431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1378…681bbacked Yes40c782.32$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31340%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c780.03$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked No10c777.82$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.017750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes19c721.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14013826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes13c685.83$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.926241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No34c631$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.4532843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No78c592.15$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.274942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes38c544.61$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No70c532.72$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.235955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Yes38c500$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.112450%12 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes20c480.45$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0935646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No57c462.62$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.6949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes22c454.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9919042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No61c443.25$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.614553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No68c441.45$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.596950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No61c433.36$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.093953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes38c414.67$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9631738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad7…49e0backed No33c396.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.88425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes69c365.87$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8722743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Yes20c365$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed No14c355.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.79520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked No31c321.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.693080%24 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+46.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes50c286.41$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.813435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes22c286.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed No43c279.26$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.181631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes23c278.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9610451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No51c276.2$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.112240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes69c276.01$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0214936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Yes36c269.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.97911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No19c262.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.352152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No18c259.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.747347.9%35 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes21c256.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7839354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Yes20c251$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.260%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed No17c250$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d8…6fcfbacked Yes24c236.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.45520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-70.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No34c235.85$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2227453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No76c232.45$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1311667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes16c224.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.194146.3%19 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Yes22c202.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.492441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ec8…762abacked Yes35c199.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No70c194.35$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7213350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No44c182$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.923063.3%19 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6febbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes21c172$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1214258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No71c169.09$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5110451%53 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f39…7a21backed Yes16c161.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+123.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ed…f691backed Yes41c144.54$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9cf…8fafbacked Yes24c139.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d82…e4bebacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes13c134.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184050%20 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes22c124.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4113839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed No77c122.57$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.564660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.415844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No46c113.57$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.34835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No71c108.69$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7314442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e0b…7db7backed No47c106.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2113146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+76.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No79c98.94$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.783762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4742…6576backed Yes21c98.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Yes16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No67c92.42$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.547964.6%51 W · 28 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebcf…086abacked Yes22c90.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf887…db68backed Yes56c89.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Yes16c89.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04e5…070fbacked Yes52c80.52$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No78c77.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.954663%29 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked No17c75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.25933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+76.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Yes16c75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes22c72.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No39c72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.592962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.31861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No79c64.65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.589950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156050%30 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.