Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2f189de5e56b66cfd29c3a984fa3dde483ea71529ce395c158682ab4750a867
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Yes | 6c | 84,880$5,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,334.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 12c | 9,771$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.46 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 63c | 6,315$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 4,678$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.56 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 13c | 4,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 12c | 2,972$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.65 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 19c | 2,520$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.45 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 2,357$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.75 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 10c | 1,857$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.1 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 13c | 1,800$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed No | 23c | 1,071$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.32 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 79c | 938.42$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.58 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Yes | 11c | 909.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 4c | 820.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 12c | 771.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Yes | 20c | 600$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 551.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.36 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…f1debacked Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 10c | 500.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 52c | 476.87$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e6…6779backed Yes | 11c | 454.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 16c | 430.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3f6dbacked Yes | 3c | 403.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 376.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Yes | 4c | 375.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…37a6backed Yes | 6c | 345.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked Yes | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 4c | 291.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 21c | 270$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.99 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 10c | 260$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…066cbacked Yes | 76c | 239.53$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 68c | 191.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed Yes | 12c | 179.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 156.33$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 63c | 150.24$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 9c | 150.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cf…8fafbacked Yes | 11c | 146$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fdb5backed Yes | 14c | 136.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…4807backed Yes | 9c | 125.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad17…3bd6backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 12c | 122$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 15c | 119.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 12c | 110.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 79c | 108.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 10c | 106.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 18c | 106.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Yes | 10c | 101.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Yes | 78c | 101.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…0a97backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed Yes | 19c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 14c | 85.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba3b…1a4abacked No | 22c | 72.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +355%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Yes | 56c | 70.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…2ce0backed Yes | 22c | 68.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Yes | 76c | 63.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 43c | 61.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 23c | 49.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 30c | 43.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 79c | 42.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 63c | 29.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 73c | 28.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 58c | 24.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Yes | 77c | 19.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.