TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c35…3f6d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
229
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT8036.3%29 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.28
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.5
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$15.57
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+161.4%+$26.22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.26
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$9.77
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$9.76
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+553.8%+$84.3
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$35.55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$25.28
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+203.2%+$20.44
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$48
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.28
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$27.12
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.91
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$22.78
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.78
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$6.9
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.5
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$5.07
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.32
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$8.85
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+195.7%+$48.98
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.57
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zagreb: Nerman Fatic vs Elmer Moellerbacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.31
Cordoba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanovabacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.88
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.63
Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Paris: Clara Burel vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.62
Valencia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Francisco Comesanabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Oeiras 4: Laslo Djere vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.14
Paris: Anna Blinkova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Paris: Shuai Zhang vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$10.79
Parma: Priscilla Hon vs Susan Bandecchibacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+137.4%+$48.04
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.13
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.1
Bengaluru 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+77%+$21.31
Paris: Sara Bejlek vs Alina Charaevabacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Bengaluru 2: Omar Jasika vs Hamish Stewartbacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+39%+$25.8
Bengaluru 2: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Sasikumar Mukundbacked Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.29
Oeiras 4: Billy Harris vs Petr Brunclikbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$22.82
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.84
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.93
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.97
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5)backed The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$68.04
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.68
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.84
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.77
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+83%+$9.98
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.54
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.06
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.13
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.15
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.22
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$34.52
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.12
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.56
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.81
All 18 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$17.54
AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.34
CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.13
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$49.97
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF América end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+566.8%+$64.56
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will EC Bahia vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.82
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.59
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.29
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+123%+$37.15
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$68.64
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.75
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.86
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$11.28
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.88
Will CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.84
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.6
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$9.44
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$6.34
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$5.87
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$7.65
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.94
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.68
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.72
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.83
Will Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$37.95
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.25
Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.08
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$20.79
Vissel Kōbe vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+160.9%+$28.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+116%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+55%+$24.12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.