TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under47c19,251$9,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,047.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ab…97b6backed Over55c16,529$9,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,438.074100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Over54c14,276$7,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,566.83650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over53c13,313$7,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,256.8984144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under46c9,385$4,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,290.853240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over64c5,886$3,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.824,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under36c5,313$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.2857839.3%227 W · 351 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under43c4,299$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.551656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under22c4,043$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.2412020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over67c3,871$2,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.273,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over54c3,800$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.991020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-63%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over55c3,029$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.096858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under46c3,019$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.8135442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.998160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Under46c2,977$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.624852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over55c2,865$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.821266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c2,823$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.42,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under45c2,400$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0809457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over54c2,222$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.226550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under46c2,151$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over54c2,100$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9667847.4%37 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c1,907$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.071,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.795149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.793956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over55c1,785$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.044440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under47c1,700$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7996756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under45c1,576$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.391546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over53c1,509$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.4317731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under45c1,400$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63010760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under45c1,286$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.5711154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55211566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over55c1,192$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.58966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4957851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Under47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5171136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under46c980$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4471942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c921.92$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.0865356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over55c912.82$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.771631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under46c902.84$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.316160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c882.1$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.7769350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under41c865.67$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3114250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36012358.5%72 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under46c772$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.1228045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under46c739.98$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.3940357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe30c…dbb1backed Over51c734.1$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.432759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked Over53c544.88$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under45c520$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2349058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22513362.4%83 W · 50 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22513062.3%81 W · 49 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22512166.1%80 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under47c432.81$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over54c423$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.582343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18412445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c380.68$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5475751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.374766%31 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over55c360$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1622867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under45c320$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1449753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under38c318.33$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2384939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under26c316$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1613251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x399f…e8d8backed Under32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under45c312$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.49660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under45c312$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.49553.7%51 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x218d…83f8backed Over54c309.43$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.342055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.88433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c285.19$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.198041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under41c282.35$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under48c279.44$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.137560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Over54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.781241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Over63c235.98$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.211776.5%13 W · 4 L+5.7wins+0.33per pick43cpaid+89.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under20c229.49$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under6c203.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4661032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under40c200.89$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.211,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908055%44 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under46c199.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1945949.7%228 W · 231 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Under20c190$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over55c188.36$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7619953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over54c184.26$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.765944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeceb…29a4backed Under46c179.79$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.71330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over54c179.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.634146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Over55c168.71$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.921050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4b…0b44backed Over55c168.16$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.67955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under39c168$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5220743%89 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729258.7%54 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over60c156.6$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6417663.1%111 W · 65 L+32.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+64.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under35c152$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.246040.9%188 W · 272 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under46c142.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.781,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over59c142.51$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4349057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2517458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88cf…5c16backed Under44c124.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under45c105$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.257661.8%47 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under47c104.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.963243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4615344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.