TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under52c7,869$4,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,056.017653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under39c6,851$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.774141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over27c5,620$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,120.47319.7%3 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c4,456$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,171.744,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over55c4,111$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.0957839.3%227 W · 351 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e3…21d5backed Under53c2,759$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.89850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2089…712ebacked Under53c2,680$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under36c2,519$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.112020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over32c2,500$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7006550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c2,272$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.593,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over32c1,852$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.552222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under68c1,832$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.8435442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over55c1,469$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.159466%62 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under47c1,458$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.0161032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under53c1,321$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.434440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Under24c1,043$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under70c1,008$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.0114250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over32c814$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.527847.4%37 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c658.74$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.8869350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under53c648$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.448351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over61c573.28$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.761,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under44c571$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.2420743%89 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under53c452.83$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-72%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under68c450$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30670050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under68c445.88$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.275751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over78c381.29$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8812875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Over47c367.77$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.233342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over76c357.89$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.893366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under68c309.38$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3828045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Over32c309.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.381050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21065356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1956460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1598347%39 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over49c294.38$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.136459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Over31c252$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.882254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under68c222$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.961,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under53c212.96$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.874242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over45c209.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.59558.9%56 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under6c207$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.428433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Under21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210121.8%22 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7855…e14dbacked Under56c194.05$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Under70c190.69$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002576%19 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over30c183.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.252454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10245949.7%228 W · 231 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under58c143.58$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0192345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c3…443ebacked Under70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.879966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over52c121.01$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9516363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x340b…3efbbacked Over80c113.74$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.751241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Under63c111.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under42c110.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2411450%57 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under54c108$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.322142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over51c105.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1837348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7020945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.993666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over44c93.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3362258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a1…5645backed Under53c91.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.372751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Under55c91.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under39c86.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343262.5%20 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.335451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1349228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.132445.8%11 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Under60c70$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+46.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc26c…ffddbacked Over47c64.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.311376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+57.9%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked Over79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.29966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Over38c61.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6712052.5%63 W · 57 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3020253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under56c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2421439.7%85 W · 129 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Over47c53.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.156969.6%48 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under56c52.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3120350.7%103 W · 100 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Under59c50.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under56c48.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4333161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over29c47.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4228138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e30…02a0backed Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d70…d0a6backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+37.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under75c40.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over34c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.273151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under44c38.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.262445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under56c38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2846040.9%188 W · 272 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c36.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.91,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Over40c34.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.814854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over47c34.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.042944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over54c33.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4417663.1%111 W · 65 L+32.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+64.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over31c33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7711741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5b…c757backed Under61c32.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Over43c29.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.097862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over48c29.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1719345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked Over49c28.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.65757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over53c28.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.299750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over58c28.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.858146.9%38 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under40c26.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3910550.5%53 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under39c26.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.254551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e3…49b7backed Under59c25.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick72cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.