La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0dc7d7725e4b3c4b432072290bab2031371d0c9e057fc57147bf41a5f4bf4ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 4,926$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.06 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 4,737$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.35 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 10c | 4,715$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,243.77 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 59c | 3,743$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.24 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 57c | 3,497$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 70c | 2,834$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.12 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 25c | 1,860$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.82 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 16c | 1,662$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.08 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 61c | 1,456$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 30c | 1,149$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.2 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 15c | 911.75$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.99 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 45c | 844.5$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 28c | 837.94$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.71 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 55c | 814.51$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.98 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 687.55$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.92 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 40c | 630$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 16c | 525.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.73 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 71c | 502.82$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.82 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 15c | 438.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.41 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Over | 15c | 394.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…472bbacked Under | 58c | 307.5$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 24c | 299.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.11 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 18c | 277.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.71 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 208.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 5c | 202.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed Under | 62c | 161.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Under | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Under | 59c | 141.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 16c | 140$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Over | 15c | 128.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…9b7cbacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 51c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 62cpaid | -58%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 80c | 123$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 71c | 111.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 78c | 105$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 78c | 105$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…a6debacked Under | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Over | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 27c | 68.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 46c | 66.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…4a73backed Over | 69c | 66.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 18c | 56.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…c757backed Under | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 53.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Over | 54c | 47.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed Under | 80c | 44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…9817backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 71c | 41.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 72c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 71c | 37.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 46c | 32.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Over | 69c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…2241backed Over | 49c | 28.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 27.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 51c | 25.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…3da2backed Over | 50c | 25.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Under | 60c | 24.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…2ea1backed Under | 45c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 74cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 74c | 15.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.