La Liga · resolved market
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce86b14f3c58ffdd689c4f5812d766bb2ebad43e88cde6915fd948819ac6b558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Levante UDof RC Celta de Vigo, Levante UD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed RC Celta de Vigo | 30c | 5,418$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.01 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Levante UD | 68c | 3,214$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.6 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked RC Celta de Vigo | 34c | 1,808$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.58 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c8…d919backed Levante UD | 71c | 1,448$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 1,016$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Levante UD | 74c | 843.25$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.32 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Levante UD | 67c | 815$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Levante UD | 75c | 745.95$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.91 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked RC Celta de Vigo | 34c | 599.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…cbfbbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 29c | 470.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Levante UD | 71c | 399.98$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed RC Celta de Vigo | 27c | 399.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Levante UD | 71c | 330.17$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Levante UD | 73c | 252.04$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…2f43backed Levante UD | 56c | 233.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Levante UD | 75c | 211.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 28c | 178.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Levante UD | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Levante UD | 72c | 138.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Levante UD | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Levante UD | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 27c | 118.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed RC Celta de Vigo | 27c | 118$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Levante UD | 72c | 115$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Levante UD | 72c | 110.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Levante UD | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Levante UD | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…d4cebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed RC Celta de Vigo | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Levante UD | 74c | 85.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Levante UD | 66c | 37.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Levante UD | 70c | 29.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…0614backed RC Celta de Vigo | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…ceebbacked Levante UD | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Levante UD | 73c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Levante UD | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Levante UD | 73c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Levante UD | 70c | 21.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…9753backed Levante UD | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Levante UD | 70c | 19.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Levante UD | 72c | 14.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.