La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69d08b7d37e84b791ab4f4564067de532890f5172dd0c692ad1afda643f356a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec94…9053backed Under | 0c | 19,800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 9c | 6,173$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.92 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Under | 17c | 4,719$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 14c | 2,706$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.52 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 23c | 2,100$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 10c | 844.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 78c | 474.36$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 22c | 456.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 77c | 410.75$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 22c | 338.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…7980backed Under | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 8c | 284$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 12c | 240$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8be…301abacked Over | 78c | 216.53$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Under | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 77c | 129.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Over | 77c | 100.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 22c | 100.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Over | 78c | 93.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 78c | 71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…6b53backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 77c | 58.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Over | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686b…ea8fbacked Over | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 78c | 26.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ba…ce43backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Over | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474f…8ec6backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…f719backed Over | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Levante UD (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.