TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x677c…6b53

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$76.19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$71.3
Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$28.66
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.85
Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.1
CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.92
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.07
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.17
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick75cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.3
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.5
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.92
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.11
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$35.58
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.92
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.68
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.92
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick72cpaid-38%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.58
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$17.61
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.8
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.35
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rebeka Masarova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Madrid Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkovabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.06
Madrid Open, Qualification: Donna Vekic vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.57
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Alina Charaevabacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
BMW Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marko Topobacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.18
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$81.95
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.34
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.47
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.92
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.57
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$17.47
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.