Bundesliga · resolved market

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c4eda9e9f848af81e1b2a52fed0acf8701c6fa0c0192ae69dcba0dedc8494e8

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $60,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $59,204

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,073 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	41c	5,903$2,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,463	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	51c	4,279$2,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080.05	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over	49c	4,078$1,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,998.22	80	68.8%55 W · 25 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Over	59c	3,307$1,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,950.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	23c	2,899$673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,226.04	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	38c	2,696$1,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,684.34	640	43.9%281 W · 359 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over	40c	2,195$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.56	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over	76c	1,960$1,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,489.87	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bb…98b3backed Over	59c	1,653$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	50c	1,603$798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$804.86	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over	77c	1,517$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160.26	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under	25c	1,338$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,003.47	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over	76c	1,297$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.6	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	59c	1,078$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.05	1,355	50.9%690 W · 665 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over	61c	792.49$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.42	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	62cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	48c	742.95$356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.66	751	42.5%319 W · 432 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Over	60c	740.99$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.59	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	61c	652.03$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.4	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…206dbacked Over	62c	630.45$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.88	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over	79c	627.87$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.58	189	58.2%110 W · 79 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over	39c	609.48$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.97	225	62.2%140 W · 85 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	62c	557.7$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.91	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over	38c	506.74$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.56	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	60c	504.58$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.55	142	60.6%86 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	11c	357.22$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.71	222	45.9%102 W · 120 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Over	79c	340.88$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.29	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	56cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over	61c	320.2$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.32	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	29c	319.77$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.73	126	35.7%45 W · 81 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over	32c	280.1$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.63	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over	41c	275.26$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.86	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	23c	273.34$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.04	817	32.8%268 W · 549 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Over	12c	260.48$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over	41c	235.27$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.46	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over	56c	227.08$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	67c	214.62$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.8	208	45.7%95 W · 113 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Under	60c	212.02$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.81	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over	65c	209.81$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.33	83	66.3%55 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over	51c	201.73$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.88	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over	60c	185.44$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.26	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over	53c	184.75$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.62	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over	50c	180$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	129	52.7%68 W · 61 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over	24c	179.9$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.77	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Over	61c	160.1$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.66	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	75c	160$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under	64c	160$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.2	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over	67c	147.32$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	70cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over	41c	141.16$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.88	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over	62c	137.57$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.63	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc28…1900backed Over	35c	137.29$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb4…0872backed Over	77c	130$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	10	70%7 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	72cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over	76c	129.68$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.56	122	71.3%87 W · 35 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over	41c	129.26$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under	49c	110.23$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.26	140	55%77 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over	59c	103.87$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.24	105	32.4%34 W · 71 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Under	47c	103$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over	49c	100.82$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.4	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+27%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	71c	98.26$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.76	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Over	57c	97.42$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.53	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	11c	95.85$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over	41c	94.11$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.58	119	43.7%52 W · 67 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	52c	93.75$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.14	206	45.6%94 W · 112 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over	22c	88.45$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.06	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-4.2wins	-0.25per pick	36cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over	76c	83.17$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.21	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	61c	82.87$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.13	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	61c	82.87$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.13	205	48.3%99 W · 106 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over	59c	82.66$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.77	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	42c	80$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	346	55.5%192 W · 154 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under	62c	78.81$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.95	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	50cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f62…0774backed Over	76c	77.42$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.84	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Over	63c	74.22$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.52	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	23c	71.54$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.08	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over	55c	69.29$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.33	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	69c	67.72$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.99	213	55.4%118 W · 95 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	69c	67.72$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.99	177	49.7%88 W · 89 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Under	69c	67.72$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.99	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under	69c	67.72$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.99	110	49.1%54 W · 56 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under	69c	67.72$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.99	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	74c	66.41$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.14	78	67.9%53 W · 25 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x151b…a686backed Over	31c	62.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.17	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under	72c	59.53$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.77	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	41c	58.82$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.12	207	53.6%111 W · 96 L	+22.3wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over	50c	58.2$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	47c	55.74$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.81	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d7e…fac0backed Over	76c	51.87$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Over	76c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	104	54.8%57 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over	60c	40.67$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	64c	38.32$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.46	108	63%68 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over	41c	38.02$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.59	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over	60c	33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-5.4wins	-0.25per pick	65cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	61c	32.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.53	77	58.4%45 W · 32 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe083…d0d5backed Over	70c	29.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	68cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1292…9e7cbacked Over	67c	29.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.5wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd42…9588backed Over	75c	28.89$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.67	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa99…cf1fbacked Over	77c	27.74$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.36	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	71cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1771…dbdebacked Over	62c	26.23$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x677c…6b53backed Over	78c	25.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	64cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ea…05b8backed Over	78c	25.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	71cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4eb6…9ce6backed Under	45c	24.28$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.26	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5this page
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Under won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Under won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event