TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa070…c103

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
221
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT6051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.3
Arthur Fils vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$489
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Fritz vs. Bergs: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Tabilo vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$163.71
Targu Mures: Caijsa Hennemann vs Mia Pohankovabacked Caijsa Hennemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$148.62
Assche vs. Blockx: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.7
Estoril Open: Jaime Faria vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$267.2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Matteo Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.56
Cerundolo vs. Berrettini: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Mensik vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$74.45
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Over 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+222.5%+$117.91
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$368
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)backed Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$38.25
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$109.89
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+125.3%+$331.41
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$28.96
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$58.61
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.67
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$36.69
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.85
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$34.15
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$56.18
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.35
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.82
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$102.01
Aston Villa vs. Wolves: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+222.6%+$111.29
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$99.13
Manchester United vs. Everton: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$216
Newcastle vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$51.19
Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$58.75
FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$94.13
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$399
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$196.43
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.86
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$89.33
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$83.07
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+900%+$90
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$197
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.59
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Tottenham Hotspur end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$197.79
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$308.21
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$75.85
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.51
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$169.03
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$74.89
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.65
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.7
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Will Belgium win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Finland win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$106.33
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.62
Will Sweden win on 2025-10-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.25
All 20 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.46
Will HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+54%+$42.67
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$115.53
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$56.45
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. FC Inter Turku end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$120.16
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.16
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.63
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.72
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.06
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.01
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.85
Will PAOK win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$103.58
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Girona FC vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$34.82
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.13
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.03
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.2
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$31.27
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.04
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$161.29
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.5%+$76.88
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$47.41
Will AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$71.19
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$112.62
Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.65
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+45.9%+$68.84
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Juventus win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+138.1%+$249.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.66
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$174.42
1. FC Köln vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+100%+$120
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+63.7%+$129.97
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.17
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Rico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$135.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.