TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No56c6,752$3,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.061,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…1eecbacked Yes25c2,035$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes51c1,910$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.032441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No51c1,900$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.7311355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes51c1,809$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.727529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No60c1,666$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.4411070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Yes39c1,499$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.611947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes52c1,467$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.3523153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c1,447$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.671,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes40c1,286$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.043158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked No61c1,162$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.181435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-45.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No51c1,121$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.676349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No44c1,032$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.289051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No48c956.59$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.913050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes47c852.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+57.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes60c835.82$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes51c779.48$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.391060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f0…57b6backed Yes43c773.95$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2882737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes51c599$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.415556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No46c564.94$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.4621560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes52c549.99$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2841827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78d2…b978backed Yes32c511.73$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No50c505.98$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.314654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No49c484$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.8823260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes43c475.36$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.195735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes43c432.56$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90d4…2692backed Yes34c400$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No43c382$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.743161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+36.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes51c341.18$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1742254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No53c315.99$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.082860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1598444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1447146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No47c298.85$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3912050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes53c278.35$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.693145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Yes54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Yes58c258.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes46c249.48$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.822931%9 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes46c249.33$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.69850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes56c248.79$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5751…cb3abacked Yes48c225.46$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes45c222.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes46c218.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002250%11 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes55c207.32$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.032030%6 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-82.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6a7…5049backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes51c187.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x467e…c62dbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e80…b1e7backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed No53c182.68$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.89650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes38c173$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.742425%6 W · 18 L-5.7wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-69.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked No53c159.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No49c152.4$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.43534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…d4ecbacked Yes54c151.59$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No50c142.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.483026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No46c140.72$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.426960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes53c122.22$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2726845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes41c121.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes52c121$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.929156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No49c121$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7220860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed Yes50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes43c115.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes53c108.46$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.16850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes49c106.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2413348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes48c103.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-52.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c43…b289backed No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-60.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes50c85.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.753036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes40c78.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3324642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No53c76.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4626040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…438abacked Yes54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No51c70.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.593961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x146a…36fabacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.762055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9e…bfaebacked Yes46c59.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Yes53c56.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-65%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes26c54.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143030%9 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes62c53.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.328046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed No50c52.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3add…2cfdbacked Yes51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.