TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34cf…7188

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
180
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$369.38
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$119.58
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.71
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.03
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.19
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.7
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$293.97
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$366.67
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$666.88
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$362.43
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+100%+$113
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$256.51
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$64.08
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$302.75
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+66%+$1,584.75
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+150%+$171
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$98.6
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+143.9%+$725.02
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+156.4%+$594.75
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$652.08
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$652.86
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$399.42
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$74.8
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$680.4
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.24
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-43%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+270.4%+$443.09
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$157.43
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$157.68
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$140.05
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$66.41
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$172.08
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$167.99
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$155.1
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+233.3%+$1,036.69
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$935
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-10-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.95
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,125.3
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$169.2
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$166.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.56
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$561.09
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$428.64
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+195.5%+$859.45
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.25
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$486.54
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.65
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.5
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.98
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,674
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.74
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.5%+$1,025.59
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$686.72
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,045.43
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$256.72
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.73
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.28
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.68
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.43
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.04
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$275.1
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.22
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$68.12
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.35
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,432Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$828.8
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Will Denmark win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$269.32
Will France win on 2025-09-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 20 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.5
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chris Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150.04
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.06
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$912Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$583.05
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$258.72
UFC Fight Night: Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Punahele Soriano (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$301.5
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$96.75
UFC Fight Night: Wang Cong vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$192
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$963.19
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Charrière · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$413.55
UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+47.1%+$502.88
UFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$606.61
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+76.7%+$943.29
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$131.2
Schnell vs. Moralesbacked Schnell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$147
Delija vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$314.82
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$566.1
Nurmagomedov vs. Hughesbacked Hughes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$629.5
Noche UFC: Puelles vs. Silvabacked Puelles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$93.01
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.02
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+138.8%+$164.47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$532.16
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$154.98
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$162.68
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+400%+$279.99
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$160.95
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.75
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$493.01
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$1,209.53
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$319.62
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$961.36
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$937Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$624.8
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$273.71
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$481.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$168.08
Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$170.72
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$782.44
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$97.15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.39
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$741.96
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$265.92
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$212
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$317.54
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+207.5%+$651.48
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$727.99
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$380
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick61cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$516.84
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$59.15
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,401.47
Cardinals vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$320
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$517.4
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$295.02
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,667Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+41.8%+$696.9
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,270.44
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,623.98
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$360.24
Panthers vs. Jaguarsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$217
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+50.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$111.54
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$77.89
Rolex Paris Masters: Denis Shapovalov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$75.6
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbertbacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$414.8
European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$78.75
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$258.85
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+455.6%+$601.05
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,116
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+122.2%+$204.26
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$252.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$86.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs. Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$567.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.