Euroleague · resolved market
Olimpia Milano vs. Olympiacos B.C.
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc622d3dd71baadd44e320b5ad67c63610819761c7385fac33b15b70d81d1a29c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olimpia Milanoof Olimpia Milano, Olympiacos B.C.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Olympiacos B.C. | 72c | 2,452$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Olimpia Milano | 55c | 1,809$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Olimpia Milano | 28c | 1,400$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.81 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Olimpia Milano | 43c | 1,135$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.14 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Olimpia Milano | 33c | 922.87$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.94 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Olympiacos B.C. | 67c | 406.21$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.61 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Olimpia Milano | 40c | 333.24$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.06 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Olympiacos B.C. | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc0…ba48backed Olympiacos B.C. | 75c | 241.29$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Olimpia Milano | 35c | 226.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olympiacos B.C. | 54c | 200.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…c017backed Olympiacos B.C. | 7c | 175$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 173$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Olimpia Milano | 28c | 169.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Olympiacos B.C. | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3113…9943backed Olympiacos B.C. | 23c | 116.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1f…1224backed Olympiacos B.C. | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Olimpia Milano | 54c | 91.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Olimpia Milano | 31c | 90.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf911…7b28backed Olympiacos B.C. | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…6565backed Olympiacos B.C. | 61c | 78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Olimpia Milano | 76c | 74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 68.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Olimpia Milano | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Olympiacos B.C. | 30c | 66.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Olimpia Milano | 36c | 54.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Olympiacos B.C. | 46c | 54.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Olimpia Milano | 33c | 43.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…2798backed Olympiacos B.C. | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd0…6f8cbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 64c | 30.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…b33abacked Olympiacos B.C. | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13a…0fcabacked Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 27.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…54dbbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 26.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…ce3ebacked Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 24.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…5baabacked Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 24.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Olympiacos B.C. | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…d768backed Olympiacos B.C. | 65c | 18.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…e707backed Olympiacos B.C. | 66c | 16.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95b…188ebacked Olympiacos B.C. | 66c | 16.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.