TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79c0…5baa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.14
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$29.14
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.65
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$71.57
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$15.65
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$14.74
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.68
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$45.01
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+63.9%+$23.26
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.61
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$27.58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.81
Burnley FC vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.94
Will Brighton win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.26
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will Fulham win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.27
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.72
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$17.88
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.54
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$7.23
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miyazaki: Yi Zhou vs Ognjen Milicbacked Yi Zhou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.62
Sao Leopoldo: Murkel Dellien vs Johan Niklesbacked Murkel Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$66.11
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luciano Darderi vs Mattia Belluccibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$35.05
Wang vs. Jones: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$46.14
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5.49
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$8.51
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4.02
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.73
US Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Jaume Munarbacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.92
ATP Cincinnati - Khachanov vs. Brooksbybacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$12.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-53.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$17.44
Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$41.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anadolu Efes vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$5.47
Olimpia Milano vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+150.6%+$570.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$27.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Mineiro vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+54.7%+$199.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. White Soxbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.