TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Grand Prix Hassan II: Luciano Darderi vs Mattia Bellucci

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Luciano Darderiof Luciano Darderi, Mattia Bellucci
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,445 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba81…dc35backed Mattia Bellucci20c14,815$2,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962.9622242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…b8f7backed Luciano Darderi80c10,204$8,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.913754.7%75 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x627f…06dcbacked Mattia Bellucci9c9,830$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.854744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Mattia Bellucci23c9,473$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.930740.7%125 W · 182 L-23.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Mattia Bellucci21c6,426$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.4440748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9412…b9ebbacked Mattia Bellucci20c5,085$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.412917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-18.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Mattia Bellucci1c4,220$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.491,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2195…bce2backed Mattia Bellucci3c2,378$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.03714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-78%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Mattia Bellucci5c2,227$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2580938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mattia Bellucci13c2,188$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.378,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mattia Bellucci11c1,736$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.126,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x731c…9819backed Mattia Bellucci18c1,620$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.57119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Mattia Bellucci21c1,184$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.663243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Mattia Bellucci20c1,135$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.124634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mattia Bellucci21c1,059$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.392,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Luciano Darderi78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Mattia Bellucci21c908.58$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5251933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba06…0004backed Luciano Darderi79c881.76$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.1715151%77 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mattia Bellucci12c851.93$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.167,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Mattia Bellucci18c826.03$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.694,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Mattia Bellucci22c825.08$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5219938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Luciano Darderi76c812.99$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.1216961.5%104 W · 65 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Mattia Bellucci11c684.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.284,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Mattia Bellucci20c658.36$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6730744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff38…1d79backed Mattia Bellucci4c649.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mattia Bellucci24c627.09$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.681,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Mattia Bellucci22c567.57$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7858734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Mattia Bellucci14c557.92$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.092,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Luciano Darderi78c509.71$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2313958.3%81 W · 58 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5792…6481backed Mattia Bellucci5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513222%29 W · 103 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Mattia Bellucci20c499.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Mattia Bellucci10c499.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Luciano Darderi79c499.95$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9959165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Mattia Bellucci19c499.17$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1423429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Mattia Bellucci10c473$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.37841%32 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Mattia Bellucci4c471.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8536554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Mattia Bellucci9c420.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8212735.4%45 W · 82 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Mattia Bellucci23c416.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8433241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Luciano Darderi78c395.94$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.135268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Luciano Darderi80c394.4$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.884,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e94…47c8backed Mattia Bellucci21c383.24$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.981442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mattia Bellucci21c382.03$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.521,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Luciano Darderi78c380$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.66354%34 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Luciano Darderi78c377.94$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1547552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Mattia Bellucci14c373.9$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1417535.4%62 W · 113 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32dc…c109backed Luciano Darderi80c365.56$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.114372.1%31 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Mattia Bellucci22c337.72$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.81,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Luciano Darderi78c312.4$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7330056.7%170 W · 130 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Luciano Darderi80c305.29$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.068261%50 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Mattia Bellucci22c286.09$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9478152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Mattia Bellucci22c274.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.637,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Luciano Darderi77c256.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9218868.6%129 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6170…f3fdbacked Luciano Darderi79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4927762.8%174 W · 103 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Luciano Darderi79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4923758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf7…e64cbacked Mattia Bellucci22c216.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.666816.2%11 W · 57 L-8.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-55.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe352…d0f5backed Mattia Bellucci25c216.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.051833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Luciano Darderi78c215.12$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.336246.8%29 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Mattia Bellucci22c199.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9986835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Luciano Darderi76c194.53$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6965849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Mattia Bellucci20c190.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0854634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0182…810abacked Mattia Bellucci6c169.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Luciano Darderi78c161.94$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6317655.1%97 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Luciano Darderi79c161.93$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0119754.8%108 W · 89 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Mattia Bellucci16c153.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.736450%32 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Mattia Bellucci7c144.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.111,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Mattia Bellucci21c143.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.221,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79c0…5baabacked Luciano Darderi75c142.33$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.051070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mattia Bellucci15c139.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.233,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Mattia Bellucci22c136.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.481,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef7…0e08backed Mattia Bellucci14c134.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebfd…ad3dbacked Mattia Bellucci21c133.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.015944.1%26 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Mattia Bellucci24c131.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.564350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Luciano Darderi77c128.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4642743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…c59fbacked Luciano Darderi78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8310474%77 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick73cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Mattia Bellucci10c123.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.011,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef0…a376backed Mattia Bellucci22c122$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.447041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Luciano Darderi80c121.52$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.31,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Mattia Bellucci12c118.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.212,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a80…b808backed Luciano Darderi77c111.13$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.569643.8%42 W · 54 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mattia Bellucci21c110.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.339,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Mattia Bellucci22c109.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0281047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Mattia Bellucci22c107.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6930452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe092…d209backed Mattia Bellucci23c103.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8519142.4%81 W · 110 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Mattia Bellucci15c103.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0615248.7%74 W · 78 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Mattia Bellucci17c101.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4436944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Mattia Bellucci19c100.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.036747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Mattia Bellucci23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2349142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Luciano Darderi79c98.74$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.744163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x444a…00bebacked Mattia Bellucci21c95.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208831.8%28 W · 60 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Mattia Bellucci20c95.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.049341.9%39 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0fa…4cf6backed Luciano Darderi79c93.8$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.71872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8919…0688backed Mattia Bellucci11c93.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d37…0748backed Luciano Darderi79c92.77$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.481258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Mattia Bellucci21c90.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0554744.4%243 W · 304 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed7c…0a62backed Mattia Bellucci18c89.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.184470.5%31 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+44.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Luciano Darderi78c88.7$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5129958.5%175 W · 124 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaf…064abacked Mattia Bellucci16c87.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.932630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Mattia Bellucci20c85.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1433163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef49…1207backed Mattia Bellucci23c82.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.085749.1%28 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mattia Bellucci13c81.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.