TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d37…0748

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.59
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$28.6
Menorca: Daniel Rincon vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.26
Credit One Charleston Open: McCartney Kessler vs Janice Tjenbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$27.47
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luciano Darderi vs Mattia Belluccibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$19.48
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuanbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.87
Dubrovnik: Teodora Kostovic vs Alina Charaevabacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.24
Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$44.22
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.29
Andreeva vs. Joint: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$67.92
Hellenic Championship: Mackenzie McDonald vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$12.3
Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$6.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$22.9
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$62.12
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.35
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$19.95
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$191.07
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Paris Basketballbacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.12
Anadolu Efes vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.41
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.37
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37%+$17.86
Will AC Milan win on 2025-08-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$7.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.22
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$137.78
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$28.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$39.13
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$3.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Acend (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$40.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.