TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$370,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$416,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,109 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION33c67,787$22,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,369.828748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed PARIVISION33c51,729$16,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,843.4942650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid66c49,085$32,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,718.3955157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked PARIVISION31c38,000$11,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,779.993154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid67c18,334$12,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,034.4754556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid67c17,179$11,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,669.113558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid67c15,555$10,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,133.1532854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Team Liquid66c13,284$8,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,560.3215047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Team Liquid69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10022848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked PARIVISION35c8,364$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9085642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Team Liquid67c8,000$5,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6409557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid71c6,782$4,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.8196557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed Team Liquid66c6,611$4,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.5413455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Team Liquid70c5,748$4,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.3710741.1%44 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Liquid67c5,123$3,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.6413045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid65c4,995$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.2955751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd6…5f73backed Team Liquid62c4,870$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.547143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid66c4,417$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.3585851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed PARIVISION29c3,919$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.2265625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Liquid57c3,906$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.733850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid68c3,899$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.2166662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29f0…c09cbacked PARIVISION59c3,773$2,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.84560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…6e27backed Team Liquid79c3,345$2,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.36757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION33c3,324$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.1264744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked PARIVISION33c3,029$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.4917546.9%82 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Team Liquid80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.059750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION25c2,608$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.8880443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed PARIVISION29c2,575$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.4515946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c29…21aabacked Team Liquid67c2,378$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.318060%48 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed PARIVISION29c2,322$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.367424.3%18 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-42.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid68c2,217$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.1871454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid69c2,113$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.892,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION34c2,081$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.8689440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed PARIVISION2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d33…7287backed Team Liquid59c1,938$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.244746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION16c1,877$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.4492056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Team Liquid71c1,849$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.9116160.2%97 W · 64 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed PARIVISION34c1,783$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.255747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed PARIVISION31c1,772$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.5352243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Team Liquid68c1,738$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.7512948.1%62 W · 67 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Team Liquid68c1,732$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.8514253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid67c1,729$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.7119552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed PARIVISION22c1,599$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.3733645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed PARIVISION32c1,580$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.69345.2%42 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x476e…00a9backed PARIVISION28c1,540$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.22055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed PARIVISION30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.983250%16 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION35c1,450$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.571,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed PARIVISION24c1,400$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32911647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac70…2d8dbacked PARIVISION33c1,362$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.629245.7%42 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked PARIVISION16c1,357$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5777458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid68c1,300$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41679959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed PARIVISION34c1,260$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.143551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed PARIVISION26c1,200$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3185052%26 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb759…ed73backed Team Liquid69c1,103$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.8310049%49 W · 51 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc81f…16f1backed PARIVISION5c1,090$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.763043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid68c1,016$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2688166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Team Liquid77c993$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.3914443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed PARIVISION32c954.75$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.5221346.5%99 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Team Liquid54c891.2$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.435942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked Team Liquid53c879.33$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.348750.6%44 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7596…9773backed Team Liquid67c858.96$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.46955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked PARIVISION32c855.45$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2774252.4%22 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed PARIVISION36c827.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010334%35 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb0…8ababacked PARIVISION31c794.37$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503638.9%14 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid68c793.5$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.9260349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked Team Liquid66c790.24$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.681963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed PARIVISION26c771.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20055457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Team Liquid77c738.43$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.011145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41cc…adc7backed Team Liquid71c661.28$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.634045%18 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b2bbacked PARIVISION35c657.43$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed PARIVISION35c650.95$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8929245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed PARIVISION5c640$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.056132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe95…1c9fbacked PARIVISION12c630$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.451435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed PARIVISION3c620.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3816821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION33c605.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.953844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Team Liquid67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.014768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid71c580.54$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.272,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked PARIVISION36c564.81$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3338049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed Team Liquid69c563$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5334561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked PARIVISION29c547.77$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8529548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION31c532.01$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9259250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ff…a353backed Team Liquid69c531.78$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.853043.3%13 W · 17 L-6.4wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-33.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4867…e1dcbacked PARIVISION32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.944639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed PARIVISION20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x910a…9e92backed PARIVISION21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Liquid46c453.34$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.3433845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4605…5299backed PARIVISION20c435.2$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.388833%29 W · 59 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4aa…2ea8backed PARIVISION31c397.94$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7950%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x148f…9facbacked Team Liquid70c397.4$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65be…5546backed Team Liquid67c380$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.41070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe98e…a046backed Team Liquid67c372.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.764438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed PARIVISION28c372.21$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2217651.1%90 W · 86 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION31c351.21$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4174549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x602a…9a6ebacked Team Liquid69c315$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.652147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a5…fc83backed Team Liquid65c303.08$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.085446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…c217backed PARIVISION35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+67.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x95f0…67c9backed Team Liquid65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f78…b642backed PARIVISION26c300$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795825.9%15 W · 43 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed Team Liquid67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9910260.8%62 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid65c299.98$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9958152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.