TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe98e…a046

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT4438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.4
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+105%+$157.55
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$270.75
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.5
Dota 2: GLYPH vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.92
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.52
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.12
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.71
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$149.52
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.42
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.95
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$209.95
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$252.76
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$217.79
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.56
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.31
Will Aurora win DreamLeague 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250.03
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.6%+$105.24
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$400.66
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$475.21
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$218.82
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$208.57
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$76.68
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$88.37
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$212.56
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+284.6%+$1,027.38
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$293.1
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84.36
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$369.49
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$350
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+82.8%+$331.78
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$206.37
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$707.56
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+69.5%+$150.72
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37.4%+$134.08
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$220.89
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$97.59
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$614Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+143.9%+$884.12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.5%+$213.9
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$293.98
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,039.49
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+203.2%+$511.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.