NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f164157941f040058b50280a4f7be4795e71ef784897632f1a5ab863797c818
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Suns | 48c | 75,800$36,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,416 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Suns | 49c | 67,395$32,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,571.4 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Mavericks | 52c | 53,400$27,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,668.08 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Mavericks | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…99cdbacked Mavericks | 0c | 27,340$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Mavericks | 51c | 16,265$8,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250.82 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Mavericks | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.99 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Suns | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,649.88 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Suns | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks | 51c | 10,000$5,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,149.45 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mavericks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Mavericks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.98 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Mavericks | 50c | 9,317$4,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,658.56 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 66c | 7,737$5,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Mavericks | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 49c | 6,616$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…8e20backed Suns | 49c | 6,204$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…e364backed Suns | 49c | 5,965$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Suns | 49c | 5,408$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.16 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Suns | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Suns | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 49c | 4,687$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.88 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Mavericks | 45c | 4,601$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.36 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Suns | 55c | 4,160$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.09 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Suns | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Suns | 49c | 4,064$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.57 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Mavericks | 48c | 4,026$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.68 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks | 51c | 3,704$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.8 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Mavericks | 50c | 3,654$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.06 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…8389backed Mavericks | 51c | 3,467$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Mavericks | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9871…b57ebacked Mavericks | 51c | 2,690$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Suns | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.06 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…955abacked Mavericks | 51c | 2,533$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…1894backed Mavericks | 51c | 2,310$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 2,073$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Mavericks | 10c | 1,563$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.13 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed Suns | 67c | 1,371$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 48c | 1,218$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.1 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,083$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.01 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 48c | 1,071$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.19 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Suns | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Suns | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…fed8backed Mavericks | 51c | 964.7$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Mavericks | 32c | 946.83$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.96 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Suns | 49c | 816$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.16 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Mavericks | 53c | 805.04$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.07 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Mavericks | 26c | 769.69$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…b2b6backed Suns | 50c | 709.37$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.18 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Mavericks | 29c | 689.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Mavericks | 9c | 600$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Mavericks | 38c | 529.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Suns | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Suns | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Mavericks | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Mavericks | 10c | 499.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a046backed Mavericks | 51c | 481.9$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Mavericks | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Suns | 48c | 427.72$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.41 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72f…2806backed Mavericks | 57c | 417.7$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.11 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Suns | 49c | 407.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.07 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Suns | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Suns | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Mavericks | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Suns | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Suns | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Mavericks | 52c | 385.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Suns | 50c | 358$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…1888backed Mavericks | 51c | 333.24$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 51c | 325.85$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Suns | 33c | 321.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.12 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a2…2868backed Mavericks | 51c | 308.53$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…916dbacked Mavericks | 51c | 304.22$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Suns | 49c | 269$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.19 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Mavericks | 51c | 262.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…b4f6backed Mavericks | 51c | 260.78$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Suns | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Suns | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Mavericks | 52c | 239.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 50c | 231.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.97 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Suns | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ff…5311backed Mavericks | 49c | 204.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…4bf9backed Mavericks | 51c | 204.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Mavericks | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Suns | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Mavericks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Mavericks | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa95d…6a82backed Suns | 58c | 165.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Mavericks | 49c | 165.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Mavericks | 51c | 162.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…7d99backed Mavericks | 17c | 160$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 468 | 26.5%124 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mavericks | 51c | 157$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Suns | 49c | 142.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Suns | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-8.5)this page
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. SunsSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Over won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-7.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.