NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde0ee14918bfa902873e7183d724375ecedd163a294b73c9d62fca16836da5e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 50c | 71,255$35,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,337.32 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 36,988$18,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,308.92 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 35,702$17,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,146.7 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.97 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 14,346$7,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,229.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 8,941$4,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.1 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 54c | 8,263$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.33 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 49c | 7,298$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 5,536$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.98 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 5,230$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.47 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 4,791$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 48c | 4,338$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.76 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 51c | 4,305$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.29 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a93…4f54backed Over | 50c | 4,207$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…e7b3backed Under | 50c | 4,023$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 3,438$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 3,125$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.87 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 2,953$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…b558backed Under | 50c | 2,712$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46a…9715backed Over | 50c | 2,684$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Under | 51c | 2,555$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.05 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 2,117$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.12 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,004$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.74 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 52c | 1,343$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.41 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.25 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 48c | 1,046$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2640…3aacbacked Over | 50c | 996.22$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…1bcdbacked Under | 50c | 994.72$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 783.51$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 49c | 634.69$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7807…d488backed Under | 50c | 588.09$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 48c | 531.25$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.25 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 488.84$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 49c | 478.21$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 461.19$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.98 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Over | 54c | 439.22$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb21f…2d35backed Over | 50c | 425.7$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 46c | 414.21$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 402$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Under | 50c | 381.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Under | 53c | 367$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.51 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 329.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 312$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 49c | 307.02$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.06 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 53c | 305$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 49c | 285.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 282.19$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…9069backed Under | 50c | 271.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 241.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…3f88backed Over | 50c | 132.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 52c | 127.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…c9b9backed Under | 50c | 127.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 48c | 107.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 54c | 106.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 49c | 103.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec8…6e60backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Under | 49c | 94.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 53c | 86.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7d…d9dfbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 77.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 39c | 73.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 49c | 67.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Under | 50c | 58.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2790…91fdbacked Over | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 54.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 49c | 53.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…4850backed Over | 51c | 45.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 54c | 44.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Under | 68c | 44.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 49c | 43.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 48c | 39.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 48c | 39.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5this page
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. SunsSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Over won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-7.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-8.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.