NBA · resolved market
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdc896c5f8029b5a9bf9a1ca2782808753616f57010a2b712083e1a60bb3a2f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 46c | 19,456$8,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,988.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Suns | 50c | 11,469$5,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,734.67 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Suns | 55c | 10,998$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.82 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks | 48c | 10,505$5,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.44 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60e…088cbacked Suns | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 8,469$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,016.61 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Suns | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.98 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Mavericks | 47c | 6,146$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.62 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Suns | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…f6dcbacked Mavericks | 48c | 5,139$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Suns | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 52c | 4,947$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.81 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Suns | 53c | 4,800$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Mavericks | 47c | 3,326$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.47 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Mavericks | 48c | 3,198$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.99 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Suns | 53c | 3,000$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.23 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 53c | 2,507$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.63 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Mavericks | 47c | 2,234$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 41c | 2,153$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,817$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.5 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Suns | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Suns | 52c | 1,492$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.31 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Suns | 55c | 1,346$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.64 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 46c | 1,299$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.57 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Suns | 53c | 1,240$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.77 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 47c | 1,089$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.06 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…48ccbacked Mavericks | 47c | 1,057$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Suns | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 9c | 939.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Suns | 54c | 930.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.21 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Suns | 51c | 851.4$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.19 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Mavericks | 48c | 812.5$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Suns | 58c | 771.44$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.67 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 46c | 760.64$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.38 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Suns | 56c | 720$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.77 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +12.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…f2d1backed Mavericks | 51c | 713.73$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…9b1abacked Suns | 51c | 660$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 46c | 642.18$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…e2d8backed Suns | 51c | 640$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5598…e29bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…495dbacked Suns | 51c | 580$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…d237backed Mavericks | 50c | 570$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf193…9838backed Suns | 53c | 569.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.73 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Mavericks | 48c | 542.3$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.9 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Mavericks | 48c | 541.67$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Mavericks | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Suns | 52c | 489.47$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.43 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks | 24c | 479.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Suns | 54c | 440$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…8732backed Suns | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Suns | 53c | 374.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.1 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Suns | 55c | 363.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.81 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Suns | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Mavericks | 3c | 346.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Suns | 54c | 320.28$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 310.12$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 308.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Suns | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Mavericks | 49c | 299.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Suns | 63c | 295$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…b5e8backed Mavericks | 12c | 293.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Mavericks | 47c | 290.26$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 274$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.52 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mavericks | 47c | 273.58$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Mavericks | 38c | 265.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Mavericks | 47c | 264.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Mavericks | 41c | 253.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mavericks | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Mavericks | 41c | 242.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Suns | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mavericks | 31c | 220.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Suns | 54c | 218.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Mavericks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Mavericks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Mavericks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks | 46c | 192.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Mavericks | 29c | 192.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Suns | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Suns | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…c17fbacked Suns | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Suns | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Mavericks | 12c | 165.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Suns | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Mavericks | 13c | 155.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 150.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Mavericks | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Suns | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd2…a7aebacked Suns | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Suns | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Mavericks | 47c | 125.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Suns | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…b098backed Mavericks | 48c | 110.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Suns | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Mavericks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…1a78backed Suns | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Suns | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Suns | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Suns | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Suns (-7.5)this page
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. SunsSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5Over won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-8.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.