NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b1f84efbb460fdf1ee2e64074dcacd93d0d985adb5717562ddf0eae1cf91f0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8764…604abacked Over | 49c | 24,416$11,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,537.57 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +14.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.99 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 16,845$8,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,590.72 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 0c | 10,690$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 7,690$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Under | 54c | 7,248$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 51c | 6,202$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,162.19 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 5,558$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.9 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.54 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 43c | 4,168$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Under | 77c | 3,461$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.91 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 45c | 3,328$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.51 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 14c | 2,105$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.49 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 1,950$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.49 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Over | 32c | 1,000$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 64c | 950.87$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.51 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 46c | 769$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.26 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 735.37$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.92 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…8ea5backed Under | 71c | 665$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.7 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 28c | 639.85$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.76 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 632.85$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.43 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 50c | 517.67$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.83 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 50c | 436$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 392.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 388.2$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 51c | 363$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 357$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 301.88$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Under | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Under | 67c | 297.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…d5a6backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 72c | 278.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 260.58$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.18 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 51c | 250$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 52c | 239.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 236.56$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Under | 51c | 217.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 27c | 200.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.71 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Over | 49c | 197.19$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Under | 51c | 197.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 67c | 188$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Under | 67c | 176.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 151.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.39 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 51c | 146.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Under | 25c | 120.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 56c | 119.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 47c | 109.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…e1d8backed Under | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 58c | 92.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…c7e6backed Under | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 68.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…24d4backed Under | 73c | 68.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Over | 41c | 66.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 16c | 62.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 33c | 58.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 56.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Over | 36c | 49.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Over | 43c | 48.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Over | 38c | 47.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 36c | 46.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…8012backed Under | 60c | 44.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc520…6700backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Over | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Over | 47c | 39.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 51c | 39.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b8…c5cabacked Under | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 41c | 36.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…c64dbacked Over | 49c | 34.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 48c | 34.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…5042backed Under | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…b163backed Under | 51c | 33.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 51c | 32.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285d…f500backed Under | 56c | 30.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Under | 60c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 51c | 28.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Over | 59c | 27.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…4850backed Over | 50c | 27.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed Under | 73c | 27.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 65c | 26.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Over | 47c | 25.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa353…d605backed Under | 73c | 24.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 23.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5this page
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mavericks vs. SunsSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 225.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 226.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5Over won
- Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Spread: Suns (-7.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-8.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.