TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc05e…c64d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tweets, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.91
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+90.1%+$13.52
Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+203%+$32.83
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$21.22
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.69
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$17.84
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.92
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+82.8%+$18.75
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$29.28
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+259.1%+$94.86
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$22.16
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$33.83
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.98
76ers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.71
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$37.47
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$39.3
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$38.46
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37%+$12.88
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$28.11
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$68.06
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.38
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.64
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.94
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+163.2%+$26.15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39.97
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+37%+$20.34
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$33.71
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30.16
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$59.58
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+37%+$5.66
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.03
Set 1 Winner: Zheng vs Rybakinabacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+376.2%+$56.43
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Argentina Open: Ignacio Buse vs Francesco Passarobacked Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Dallas Open: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+116.8%+$115.13
Dallas Open: Marin Cilic vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$101.82
Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs Filsbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.67
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45.95
Qatar Total Open: Emma Navarro vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Hailey Baptistebacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$61.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.18
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,705.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+3,705.5%+$506.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$34.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$49.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.