Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs Fils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed76ac6f3937f68dda107e2497ffe0ed96e07acff17398d1148fb8e4f82c6569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minaurof Minaur, Fils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minaur | 61c | 311.91$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fils | 36c | 307.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Fils | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Minaur | 73c | 250.59$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fils | 32c | 237.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Minaur | 65c | 153.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Fils | 40c | 123.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Fils | 24c | 114.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minaur | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Minaur | 64c | 93.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…5745backed Fils | 14c | 91.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fed…23e5backed Fils | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d41…6989backed Fils | 30c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fils | 42c | 54.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…6b7fbacked Fils | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…c64dbacked Minaur | 70c | 42.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf22…531bbacked Minaur | 68c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…104bbacked Minaur | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…fd9fbacked Fils | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…b444backed Fils | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e21…4275backed Minaur | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…753bbacked Fils | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…48a0backed Minaur | 68c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…2325backed Minaur | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…0e3cbacked Minaur | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…69fbbacked Minaur | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x271a…8fc7backed Minaur | 66c | 30.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e04…3fb0backed Minaur | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…9077backed Minaur | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…85bbbacked Minaur | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…baafbacked Minaur | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Minaur | 66c | 25.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x353a…06c5backed Minaur | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…7d0bbacked Minaur | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…7289backed Minaur | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Minaur | 62c | 19.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…e21bbacked Minaur | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…5312backed Minaur | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf00…9222backed Minaur | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…7d6abacked Minaur | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…08d0backed Minaur | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8610…eba9backed Minaur | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…3d75backed Minaur | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…3036backed Minaur | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…34e8backed Minaur | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…82a2backed Minaur | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…8e32backed Minaur | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs Filsthis page
- Minaur vs. Fils: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Minaur vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Arthur FilsMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)Minaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.