TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x507a…be1f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
364
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
23

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT3417.6%6 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Gedeo People’s Democratic Party (GPDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,454.2
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+744.4%+$101.16
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.72
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.77
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020.62
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.75
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Will Alianza para el Progreso (APP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+691.4%+$73.84
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+173.4%+$21.53
Will Alianza para el Progreso (APP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.16
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.34
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.19
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$59.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.9%+$11.26
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37.3%+$18.73
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.9%+$4.82
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.2%+$31.52
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+59.3%+$14.68
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+71.5%+$12.68
Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+64.1%+$10.08
Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.46
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+52.4%+$13.18
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+76.7%+$9.92
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.4%+$6.7
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+54.3%+$18.3
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+55.7%+$15.75
Will West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.77
West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.62
West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49%+$8.08
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+68.3%+$11.54
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.83
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.81
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37.9%+$6.55
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.93
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.78
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104%+$21.94
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+49.2%+$10.94
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+227.9%+$137.95
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$83.64
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$28.51
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.38
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.41
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+414.5%+$1,033.08
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$72.72
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$73.39
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16.17
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$77.96
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23.65
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30.94
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$269.69
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50.09
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.39
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$32.06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35.33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$38.74
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$17.18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$17.04
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.63
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick31cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,909Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,909.02
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.78
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+267.4%+$135.74
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+380%+$71.42
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.61
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
Will the New York Knicks finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.54
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.03
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+83.4%+$11.11
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.26
Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+130.6%+$17.6
Cavaliers vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+70.1%+$9.69
Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+71.5%+$7.16
Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
Isaiah Collier: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+97.1%+$19.33
Norman Powell: Points O/U 23.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+73.6%+$10.48
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+70.6%+$8.74
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+424.5%+$169.79
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.5%+$12.44
Will Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+27.8%+$5.32
Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+32.7%+$4.12
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+68.7%+$11.69
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.22
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+36.6%+$5.07
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+84.6%+$13.02
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.47
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+54.4%+$8.93
CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.9%+$8.39
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.07
Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33%+$5.86
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.09
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$33.43
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+106.4%+$12.56
Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+68.7%+$11.67
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+84.9%+$78.81
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+77.7%+$9.93
All 20 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.1
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49.1%+$7.77
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22.84
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.51
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.7%+$11.27
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.86
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.35
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+76.9%+$12.73
SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+46.1%+$7.1
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+93.9%+$14.9
RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.34
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.38
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+71.7%+$8.56
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+90.1%+$9.07
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$44.62
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.9%+$11.22
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+41.9%+$26.03
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+28.1%+$3.84
All 20 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+115.8%+$25.21
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$204.04
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+68.8%+$84.84
Will Lou Jeanmonnot (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+74%+$11.8
Will Julia Simon (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+29.3%+$10.51
Will Oceane Michelon (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.64
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+45.2%+$29.9
Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+93%+$20.17
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.48
Will Matt Weston (GBR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Skeleton - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+39.9%+$5.94
Will Chloe Kim (USA) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+125.5%+$65.47
Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+150.6%+$20.48
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30.31
Will Julia Taubitz (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Women's Singles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+56.6%+$13.57
Will Birk Ruud (NOR) win the gold medal for Ski Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41.5
Will Jutta Leerdam (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+61.4%+$10.04
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid+14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.72
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,560.2%+$881.21
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.4
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.6
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.97
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+68.3%+$29.3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
Houthi strike on Israel by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.74
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.24
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50.53
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$31.26
Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will the US strike Mexico next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Will the US strike Yemen next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.57
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $MARU reach $900M in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+41.2%+$139.66
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$796.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+51.1%+$11.9
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+45.2%+$14.7
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+87.7%+$10.1
Will Solana dip to $80 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+55.3%+$8.18
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19.55
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.72
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.26
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.47
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$17.79
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24.32
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.32
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.89
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+322.9%+$80.88
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$18.28
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.9
Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+144.8%+$19.92
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.44
Will Abraham Enriquez be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$8.99
Will Douglas T. Muck Jr. be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$4.58
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary and General Elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.74
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election and lose the 2026 Texas Senate General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.21
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-91%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Carolina win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.14
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$839Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$838.74
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.85
Will Texas win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.84
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.32
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.65
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.94
Will North Carolina win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
Will NC State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
Will Mississippi St. (Women’s) win the 2025–2026 SEC Regular Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will Auburn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.24
Will Michigan win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26%+$6.64
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-14.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$7.76
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$6.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$9.92
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+99.7%+$91.48
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+83.5%+$12.54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.17
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+88.9%+$12.83
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-48%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.32
Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.13
Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+389.2%+$73.65
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.16
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.22
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$34.15
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.7
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$128.02
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$13.88
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.96
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will Anthony Cirelli win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Will Jon Cooper win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+1,142.9%+$374.78
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$118.49
Will Beckett Sennecke win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will Cole Caufield win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.92
Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.47
Will the Columbus Blue Jackets make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will the Vegas Golden Knights make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.42
Will the St. Louis Blues make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Will the Montreal Canadiens make the NHL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.53
Will the Arizona Coyotes make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.1%+$19.86
AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.6%+$9.16
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.46
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.34
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.53
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.07
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+48%+$9.07
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+36.7%+$4.81
Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.62
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.4%+$21.85
Will US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+36.4%+$5.11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27.39
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+41%+$6.48
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+80.7%+$8.26
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.12
Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+68.5%+$6.9
OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+67%+$10.6
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21.1
Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$11.44
Will a contestant numbered 176 - 200 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35.34
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+341%+$113.34
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.19
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.01
Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.63
Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.56
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-72.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.57
X Money released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.71
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$28.29
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$87.37
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$46.75
Will Google have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.19
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+148.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-64%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick13cpaid+281.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anadolu Efes vs. BC Dubaibacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+316.4%+$63.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+220%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+220%+$278.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karrigan retire by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$4.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$43.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
James Madison vs. Oregonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$29.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.