NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5abebef00d3204ac0a90aef5ce21dbc32ed941ed5f545ee83456d957a92bbf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 16,983$7,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,961.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…6bb1backed Under | 49c | 6,574$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 53c | 5,980$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.79 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 47c | 5,793$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.43 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 53c | 5,174$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.3 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 51c | 3,836$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.05 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Under | 55c | 3,727$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.27 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 47c | 3,161$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.49 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…f1fdbacked Over | 51c | 2,471$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…ab0bbacked Over | 51c | 2,241$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.22 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…32acbacked Over | 51c | 1,862$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 1,846$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Over | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 54c | 1,823$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.57 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 74c | 1,310$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.41 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 54c | 1,107$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.52 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 53c | 1,057$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.6 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 46c | 724$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.04 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 79c | 664.58$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.41 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 54c | 606.33$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.91 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 570$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 400.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 40c | 396.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.61 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 295.2$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.69 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 23c | 273.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 229.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.22 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…6192backed Over | 49c | 225.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 48c | 204.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 57c | 185.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 152.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 50c | 122.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 49c | 114.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 63c | 112.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 53c | 110.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 47c | 73.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 78c | 70.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 65c | 68.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 47c | 61.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 25c | 56.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb96e…b3a2backed Over | 50c | 54.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…3079backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 52c | 49.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 48c | 48.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…c7abbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62a…8abebacked Over | 51c | 44.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 53c | 44.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 59c | 40.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 38.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 53c | 32.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…238fbacked Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Over | 48c | 24.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…6139backed Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Under | 61c | 20.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…083fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…3168backed Under | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5this page
- Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Devin Carter: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kings vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.