NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ef2018cb2d9c52934da5a4936c63245725519863767fba38c633f69549a0e8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 10,799$5,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,980.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 9,531$4,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,765.49 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 50c | 5,576$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…32acbacked Over | 48c | 5,026$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 51c | 3,963$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.31 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…f1fdbacked Under | 52c | 2,538$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c2…ab0bbacked Under | 52c | 2,331$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 52c | 2,092$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.66 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 56c | 1,782$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.08 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 50c | 1,218$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.95 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 911.18$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 50c | 836.6$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.3 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 781.44$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.8 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Under | 51c | 440$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 413.61$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 196.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Over | 50c | 173.46$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…b9a6backed Over | 49c | 168.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 165.43$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 162.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.71 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…6bb1backed Under | 52c | 157.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Over | 47c | 100.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 47c | 93.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…d2f3backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd1…80d8backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…0f6bbacked Under | 63c | 39.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 31.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4909…8f39backed Over | 49c | 31.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Under | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 49c | 28.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 54c | 27.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…5ca7backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f3…39ccbacked Under | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…e59ebacked Under | 55c | 22.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…0d3bbacked Under | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x181c…7671backed Under | 56c | 19.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Under | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…223dbacked Under | 55c | 18.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5this page
- Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Devin Carter: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kings vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.