TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,177
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,177 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Kings47c9,573$4,496 inLost-$4,496.059,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Pelicans53c9,434$5,000 inWon+$4,433.9610252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings48c5,457$2,619 inLost-$2,619.314,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Pelicans52c5,000$2,600 inWon+$2,40012144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans53c1,700$901 inWon+$798.9964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings46c1,283$590 inLost-$590.478,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Kings47c1,064$500 inLost-$5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Pelicans53c943.4$500 inWon+$443.414251.4%73 W · 69 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Pelicans52c500$260 inWon+$24015649.4%77 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans53c438$232 inWon+$205.862,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eb3…380ebacked Kings49c369$181 inLost-$180.811250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings47c277.6$130 inLost-$130.473,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings46c245.43$113 inLost-$113.163,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Kings47c231.6$110 inLost-$1106253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ba…7f3cbacked Kings55c200$110 inLost-$1101631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-46.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans45c200$90 inWon+$1102,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pelicans55c160$88 inWon+$721,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Pelicans55c136.45$75 inWon+$61.4538050.8%193 W · 187 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Kings22c113$25 inLost-$24.8682440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pelicans53c100$53 inWon+$4749351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Kings47c100$47 inLost-$4732346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pelicans78c80$62 inWon+$17.61,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans53c75.18$40 inWon+$35.044,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Pelicans55c60$33 inWon+$2749358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kings50c52.25$26 inLost-$25.873,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kings39c43.52$17 inLost-$16.81,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Kings38c39$15 inLost-$14.763,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Pelicans53c35$19 inWon+$16.451,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kings46c32.53$15 inLost-$151,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Kings49c30.13$15 inLost-$14.923845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4a…7f18backed Pelicans55c21.82$12 inWon+$9.826251.6%32 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Pelicans53c19.24$10 inWon+$9.046653%35 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Pelicans64c17.07$11 inWon+$6.0840849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.