TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,876 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Kings39c18,980$7,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,402.3587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans61c13,000$7,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,07048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings42c12,172$5,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,130.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pelicans61c9,775$5,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,812.241,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Pelicans61c9,050$5,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,543.4521549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Pelicans52c7,393$3,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,581.8646145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pelicans54c6,003$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,762.911,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings41c4,244$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.448,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings46c3,398$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans59c3,204$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Kings49c2,718$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Kings46c2,660$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.631644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Kings45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pelicans61c2,155$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.4585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Kings45c1,953$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.8527747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings47c1,894$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.914,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Pelicans61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3416042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Pelicans57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64548957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Kings40c1,498$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.1765750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Kings44c1,292$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.481,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pelicans54c1,200$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.0189050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings40c1,032$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.833,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Kings46c968.56$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.756550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Kings48c864.17$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.851146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Kings39c700$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Kings47c650$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.517953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Pelicans55c587.3$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.2880653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings44c523.59$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.433,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings47c503.99$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.885,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Pelicans50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2509051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Pelicans55c400$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18250653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Pelicans55c362.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6250954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Kings45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Kings41c295.12$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024332.9%80 W · 163 L-22.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Pelicans62c260$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.818446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans58c212.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.373,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Pelicans61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7815154.3%82 W · 69 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Kings41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Kings50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec6…9404backed Kings46c190$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Kings46c172.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.331,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pelicans61c168.3$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.31,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Kings40c148.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036247.5%172 W · 190 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Kings41c147.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Pelicans52c146.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9818456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Pelicans51c142.1$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9250651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Kings46c132.4$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.67248.6%35 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Pelicans62c130$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.49443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61bf…9862backed Kings52c125$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481d…48cfbacked Kings41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.27954.4%43 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Kings47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda39…1865backed Pelicans54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a9…e935backed Pelicans55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Pelicans56c99.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9959144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Kings41c99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3141048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Pelicans62c96.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5535844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da4…e5c1backed Kings46c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Pelicans55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9151651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Pelicans56c89.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5550648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Kings42c87.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7713750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Kings46c87.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Pelicans51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4340960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Kings49c77.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Kings49c75.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3721352.1%111 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Pelicans50c72$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3665950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Pelicans50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3547045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Pelicans57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.751,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Pelicans61c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5853945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Pelicans62c65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.743544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Pelicans62c63.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.376250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Pelicans50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7838252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Pelicans50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3029351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1084…744abacked Pelicans52c57.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.861250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings46c53.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.464,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Kings41c51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9120448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce1…b62cbacked Kings41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd514…39debacked Kings41c48.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Kings41c46.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9428140.6%114 W · 167 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Kings48c44.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7416052.5%84 W · 76 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Pelicans59c44.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.140849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Kings39c41.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1743348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e83…49fcbacked Kings45c40.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Pelicans59c39.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3823845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Pelicans52c38.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3911251.8%58 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Kings40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518644.1%82 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d38…c1f2backed Pelicans62c37.35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.192065%13 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Kings40c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4824330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Pelicans59c35.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7457657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings45c35.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.773,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2ea0backed Kings49c34.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.931070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Pelicans62c33.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8420651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5509…e5babacked Pelicans52c33.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.151163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…a2acbacked Pelicans52c33.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.09955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x229e…4d6ebacked Kings48c33.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.11650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Pelicans73c32.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.881,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…8bb9backed Pelicans52c31.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+38.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Kings48c31.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea60…1cedbacked Kings49c31.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1d…7e54backed Pelicans52c30.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd030…ffd8backed Kings49c30.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.