TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68dd…f0b2backed Kings51c82,671$41,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,989.0851350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pelicans50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Kings51c38,131$19,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,446.987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Pelicans50c31,278$15,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,669.167552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pelicans50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,0001,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Pelicans49c22,330$10,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,388.344352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings50c14,908$7,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,456.314,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans48c13,793$6,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,123.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Pelicans48c13,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,759.9843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kings52c11,875$6,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,189.991,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fb…fe50backed Pelicans49c10,204$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.085154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Kings50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans48c7,838$3,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,075.7759347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Pelicans49c7,653$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,903.0638750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans49c7,385$3,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.31,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Kings51c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,57045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Pelicans49c5,510$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.241649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings50c4,755$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.742,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Pelicans49c4,194$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.8837747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.631,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Kings50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0401,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Kings51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Pelicans49c2,097$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.4725049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans47c1,489$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.176,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings50c1,463$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.713,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans49c1,225$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.752,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Kings50c1,180$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Kings51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings50c967.74$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.163,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans65c734.54$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.068,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Pelicans49c694$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.9417953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8590…07adbacked Kings51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3065945.8%27 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1779…eef2backed Pelicans51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2410936.7%40 W · 69 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Pelicans51c505.05$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.4718446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Pelicans50c474.5$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.257448.6%36 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f89…8ed0backed Kings33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1325042%21 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48c8…72a4backed Pelicans51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1969443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Kings53c375.47$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1993060%18 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac1f…c6adbacked Pelicans51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1475950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Pelicans48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15628348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf331…ca0bbacked Kings51c255.04$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.071145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Kings52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012645.2%57 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Kings52c230.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024332.9%80 W · 163 L-22.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Pelicans49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b7c…bfd7backed Pelicans49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Pelicans49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0863447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Kings7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1444821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Pelicans50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10076250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Pelicans51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9843544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed Kings51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210445.2%47 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Pelicans51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0825347%119 W · 134 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Kings52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Kings52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pelicans48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6738946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Kings51c140$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.461957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Kings52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036247.5%172 W · 190 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Kings52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Kings52c108.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5520448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Pelicans51c104$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9620651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Pelicans49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Pelicans51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4953945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pelicans49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1649351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Pelicans48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Kings52c95.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5118644.1%82 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans49c95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.452,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Kings52c87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2441048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Kings52c82.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4348451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Pelicans49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6311651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pelicans51c80.47$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Pelicans50c80.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1920149.8%100 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6937…7340backed Pelicans50c80.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0311145.9%51 W · 60 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Pelicans51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.362844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf358…d71cbacked Kings40c74.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Pelicans50c67.78$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.896043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Kings52c64.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6227943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0d…7132backed Kings51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.55451.9%28 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d38…c1f2backed Pelicans50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252065%13 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb774…7a01backed Kings52c40.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3e…7366backed Pelicans50c40.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+72.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a7a…7a02backed Pelicans50c40.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.023839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Pelicans51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2235844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Pelicans51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2232743.4%142 W · 185 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Kings52c36.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9428140.6%114 W · 167 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf9…63a5backed Kings52c32.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.88825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Kings52c32.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8334342.9%147 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb706…c2adbacked Pelicans51c31.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3720641.7%86 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Kings51c30.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5555846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Pelicans49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.344844.2%198 W · 250 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Pelicans48c29.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5150841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0d…5087backed Kings52c26.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.761729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Kings52c23.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4723144.2%102 W · 129 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Kings52c22.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6114450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da1…26a7backed Pelicans49c20.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.658960.7%54 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x285d…f500backed Kings54c20.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.952832.1%9 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-50.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Pelicans50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1018852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.