NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6510877575266835fed4bdcabc1199f1b77fdc33d411661623affb281b8f16b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Pelicans, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Pelicans | 53c | 2,612$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.67 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 44c | 1,774$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 34c | 1,284$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 46c | 1,096$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Kings | 35c | 929.93$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.6 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pelicans | 59c | 626.42$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.91 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Pelicans | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Pelicans | 58c | 534$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.28 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kings | 42c | 530$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Kings | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Pelicans | 60c | 458.33$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pelicans | 66c | 340.4$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 41c | 335.44$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Kings | 37c | 322.04$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 43c | 319.72$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pelicans | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Kings | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Kings | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Kings | 38c | 207.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…2a69backed Pelicans | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pelicans | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pelicans | 64c | 140$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans | 62c | 135.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Kings | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Kings | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…5745backed Pelicans | 64c | 118.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Kings | 37c | 106.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pelicans | 61c | 105.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Pelicans | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kings | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 25c | 99.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pelicans | 66c | 89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pelicans | 70c | 77.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Kings | 32c | 71.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Pelicans | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Pelicans | 63c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Kings | 46c | 62.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Kings | 38c | 61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kings | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Kings | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Pelicans | 63c | 41.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Pelicans | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kings | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kings | 38c | 37.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kings | 46c | 35.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Pelicans | 53c | 34.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8d…9805backed Kings | 47c | 33.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Kings | 37c | 33.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c7…44cdbacked Kings | 47c | 33.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb169…bb17backed Pelicans | 54c | 32.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…ae2abacked Pelicans | 54c | 32.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Kings | 41c | 31.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e8…ba12backed Pelicans | 54c | 31.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Kings | 36c | 30.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…f5acbacked Kings | 47c | 30.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…60bbbacked Pelicans | 54c | 30.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Pelicans | 61c | 29.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…7716backed Kings | 47c | 29.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…39ddbacked Kings | 46c | 28.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a75…9d4fbacked Kings | 39c | 28.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023c…c195backed Pelicans | 54c | 27.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)this page
- Derik Queen: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Devin Carter: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Domantas Sabonis: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Kings vs. PelicansPelicans won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 231.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Pelicans (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.