TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5974…2a69

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$319.86
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.55
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$93.7
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
76ers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 109.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48.81
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$64.88
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.79
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.18
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$160.8
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+71.2%+$53.41
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50.56
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+113.6%+$113.59
Spread: Heat (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.89
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.13
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.02
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.59
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.22
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.68
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.23
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.23
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.13
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.89
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$269.74
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$28.24
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$62
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+51.2%+$63.97
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+41.3%+$30.97
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Englandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
T20 World Cup: India vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.1%+$20.95
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$75
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+148.6%+$148.63
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+113.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+809.1%+$404.55
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+488.2%+$122.06
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+93.5%+$56.08
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$59.78
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.58
Australian Open Men's: Stan Wawrinka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: UT Martin Skyhawks (-11.5)backed UT Martin Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+101.7%+$61
Spread: Merrimack College Warriors (-3.5)backed Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$49.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+228.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+228.9%+$114.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.