TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Africaof New Zealand, South Africa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$601,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$631,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed New Zealand51c17,963$9,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,125.4316546.1%76 W · 89 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked New Zealand6c16,900$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.571233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb42…0b87backed New Zealand23c15,200$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4409146.2%42 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New Zealand17c12,297$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.229631.1%92 W · 204 L-16.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked New Zealand32c12,100$3,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,859.461717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef51…c0d3backed New Zealand18c12,041$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.6116349.7%81 W · 82 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked South Africa64c10,934$6,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,969.1713151.9%68 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed South Africa66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.984168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…dd30backed South Africa67c8,503$5,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,770.966344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed New Zealand37c8,069$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009851%50 W · 48 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cb4…f89dbacked South Africa73c6,791$4,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.144254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed South Africa63c6,299$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.6533042.4%140 W · 190 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed South Africa76c6,000$4,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.795064%32 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd367…0957backed South Africa72c5,854$4,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.694431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c2e…e72ebacked New Zealand2c5,560$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.59137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-65%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed New Zealand18c5,277$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.552416.7%4 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b27…227ebacked South Africa69c5,078$3,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.224540%18 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdea7…9df8backed New Zealand4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004143.9%18 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b97…4d93backed New Zealand11c4,914$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.63339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Zealand33c4,912$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.961735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed New Zealand1c4,035$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2812534.4%43 W · 82 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…8038backed New Zealand48c3,600$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7283537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5197…610fbacked New Zealand42c3,500$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4852536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…7984backed New Zealand8c3,071$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408946.1%41 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed New Zealand50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b52…0db3backed South Africa74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed South Africa54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed New Zealand6c2,971$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9313227.3%36 W · 96 L-0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked South Africa54c2,868$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.6476251.6%393 W · 369 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa69b…7b0cbacked New Zealand54c2,827$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.8322552.4%118 W · 107 L+20.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed South Africa78c2,825$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.1114852%77 W · 71 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb92a…3453backed New Zealand34c2,811$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.584030%12 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a54…ba69backed New Zealand48c2,619$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3d…4841backed New Zealand19c2,565$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.6915335.3%54 W · 99 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a1…e821backed New Zealand24c2,250$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.2123555.3%130 W · 105 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7a…500cbacked New Zealand24c2,250$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.2123754.4%129 W · 108 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed New Zealand47c2,248$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.254219%8 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-52.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed New Zealand28c2,039$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.575637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked South Africa51c2,025$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8e…1d33backed New Zealand48c2,022$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.0127054.4%147 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked South Africa64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72011445.6%52 W · 62 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9592…4a9ebacked New Zealand1c1,984$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked New Zealand1c1,965$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.864119.5%8 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1501…a163backed South Africa58c1,912$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.893652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5535…81b4backed South Africa54c1,850$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8511361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa647…a412backed New Zealand26c1,828$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703917.9%7 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed New Zealand24c1,800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.2531027.4%85 W · 225 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…416ebacked New Zealand15c1,588$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e7f…cdffbacked New Zealand22c1,584$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.26048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1afc…7545backed New Zealand32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003040%12 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed New Zealand19c1,557$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.911822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked New Zealand46c1,522$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.7832846.3%152 W · 176 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e44…edabbacked New Zealand1c1,414$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed South Africa72c1,397$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.654637%17 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed New Zealand34c1,395$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.44669.1%6 W · 60 L-10.5wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-71.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9027…b562backed New Zealand43c1,380$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.28631.4%27 W · 59 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d7a…5c3dbacked New Zealand40c1,324$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f25…9bc1backed New Zealand1c1,310$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7b…55cebacked South Africa53c1,301$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.37027.1%19 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f1…167ebacked New Zealand8c1,263$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.011353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed South Africa61c1,261$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.1115429.9%46 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0d…e422backed New Zealand14c1,192$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59b5…70f8backed New Zealand43c1,162$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.181323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+67.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5935…85b1backed South Africa66c1,056$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.563956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb3…81c4backed New Zealand5c1,055$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-73.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed New Zealand29c1,026$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3212923.3%30 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-24.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed South Africa54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4606946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed South Africa53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ee…1686backed South Africa64c994.76$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.7718923.8%45 W · 144 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed South Africa72c911.89$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.131154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked New Zealand29c910.44$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2642626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3630…22c9backed South Africa76c908$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.161838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb42…76a5backed South Africa76c900$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21212357.7%71 W · 52 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe661…85f6backed South Africa56c898.24$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc947…1977backed New Zealand39c893.12$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505836.2%21 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed New Zealand32c871$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.154637%17 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked New Zealand31c862$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.715933.9%20 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked South Africa65c857.99$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.068949.4%44 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x044d…a105backed New Zealand5c846.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4440%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ad…993dbacked South Africa71c840.21$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2111058.2%64 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da5…5b2abacked New Zealand24c833$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed New Zealand26c819.98$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.369241.3%38 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked New Zealand10c817.79$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6626130.7%80 W · 181 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddae…8ee2backed New Zealand11c803.54$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.883426.5%9 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-29.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed South Africa54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3681560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6a40backed New Zealand31c788.86$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5016…58e4backed New Zealand47c760$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.250%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9dd…ca07backed South Africa65c758.05$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26714343.4%62 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa995…3d50backed New Zealand49c750.52$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.662339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed New Zealand35c708.79$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4818541.6%77 W · 108 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a4b…c16cbacked New Zealand27c699.98$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191303.3%1 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick17cpaid-94%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x087f…075ebacked South Africa53c695.48$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.222360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00de…3e7dbacked South Africa61c685.06$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.066440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c68…072dbacked New Zealand39c684.77$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.056237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46b…6bc8backed New Zealand2c652.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9efd…e010backed New Zealand5c650$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303627.8%10 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1599…a8b6backed South Africa79c628.57$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1132337.2%120 W · 203 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dad…5386backed South Africa80c615.2$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.957549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397b…d4bdbacked New Zealand59c603.16$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.5250%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd237…dc82backed New Zealand3c599.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.