TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b7c…8d4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$119.4
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.25
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+171.4%+$66.02
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+276.5%+$29.84
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.03
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.81
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.72
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.76
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.99
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+559.5%+$679.79
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.66
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.66
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.63
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.55
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Bucks vs. Rocketsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.7
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT4119.5%8 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.15
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.33
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+495.1%+$63.23
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$5.58
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.67
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.15
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$32.8
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.54
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$594.78
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$356.39
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$844.54
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs South Africabacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$381.71
T20 World Cup: India vs Zimbabwebacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$630.59
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$239.79
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indiesbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$591.65
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+240.3%+$160.22
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Englandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$58.87
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Oman (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$141.67
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+621.4%+$620.2
T20 World Cup: Italy vs West Indies (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$34.7
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+161.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+138.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$59.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$351.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.